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Christopher Pavon
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Current
1249
#764
Peak
1257
October 2025
Record
6W · 9L
Last
November 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1448
#978
Peak
1459
October 2025
Record
19W · 9L
Last
October 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1118
#1,740
Peak
1128
October 2025
Record
9W · 18L
Last
October 2025
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Regional
Current
1010
#344
Peak
1022
February 2025
Record
2W · 5L · 1D
Last
February 2025
Scout analysis
Longsword
19W · 9L (68%)
Longsword
19W · 9L (68%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 57% vs older 79%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 57% vs older 79%
Record: 19W · 9L (68%)
Recent half (14 fights): 57%
Older half (14 fights): 79%
Delta: -22%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 28 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+0.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+0.3 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
+0.3
(8 actual / 7.8 expected, n=14)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
5 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
5 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.33
Avg exchanges / match: 8
Doubles / match: 1.4
First scorer rate: 20%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 71% · Elim 50%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 71% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 12W · 5L (71%)
Elimination: 2W · 2L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1448
Peak rating: 1459 (October 2025)
Gap to peak: -11
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
11W · 7L
(61%)
+0.3 vs expectation
(n=14)
avg opponent 1343
Mixed Steel Longsword (Division 2)
8W · 2L
(80%)
avg opponent 1126
Sabre
9W · 18L (33%)
Sabre
9W · 18L (33%)
Form
Rising
Recent 46% vs older 23%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 46% vs older 23%
Record: 9W · 18L (33%)
Recent half (13 fights): 46%
Older half (13 fights): 23%
Delta: +23%
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 27 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+0.5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
+0.5
(3 actual / 2.5 expected, n=7)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 38%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 38%
Pool stage: 8W · 13L (38%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1118
Peak rating: 1128 (October 2025)
Gap to peak: -10
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Rapier
6W · 9L (40%)
Rapier
6W · 9L (40%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 29% vs older 43%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 29% vs older 43%
Record: 6W · 9L (40%)
Recent half (7 fights): 29%
Older half (7 fights): 43%
Delta: -14%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 15 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
High tempo
5 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
High tempo
5 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 2.81
Avg exchanges / match: 15.2
Doubles / match: 3
First scorer rate: 0%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 3W · 6L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1249
Peak rating: 1257 (October 2025)
Gap to peak: -7
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Singlestick
2W · 5L · 1D (25%)
Singlestick
2W · 5L · 1D (25%)
Form
Steady
Recent 25% vs older 25%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 25% vs older 25%
Record: 2W · 5L · 1D (25%)
Recent half (4 fights): 25%
Older half (4 fights): 25%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 8 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
5 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
5 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 2.19
Avg exchanges / match: 11.4
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 80%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 20%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 20%
Pool stage: 1W · 4L (20%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1010
Peak rating: 1022 (February 2025)
Gap to peak: -11
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Reach
5 events · us · 9 mo active
4 rated weapons
▾
Reach
5 events · us · 9 mo active
4 rated weapons
Tournaments: 5
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 9
Fights / year: 104
Rated weapons: 4
Clubmates
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
(46)
- Alexander Brindley●
- Chris Holloman●
- Tom Leslie●
- Gerard Averill●
- Donald Kullman●
- Logan Santerelli●
- Zach Jacobs●
- Samuel Orndorff●
- Nicholas Tyson●
- Steven Jennett●
- Jeremy Nidiffer●
- Will Espeseth●
- Lucas Lacher●
- Robert Stefanovich●
- Daniel Kumatz●
- Keegan Jones●
- Harrison Thompson●
- Katherine Connor●
- Wesley Mikel●
- Zach Leaver●
- Nathan Beard●
- Jackson Whiteside●
- Jayce Williamson●
- Ryan Brotman●
- Cameron Mcshaffrey●
- Gabriel Luis●
- Kaiden McPhee●
- Joe Hubard●
- Alex Hernandez●
- Rebecca Vargas●
- Dillon Thomas●
- Ian Jacobs●
- James Glaze●
- Marc S. Strohwig●
- Sam Wittenberg●
- Tom Soranno●
- Christopher Peterson●
- Greg Golter●
- Gregory Strohwig●
- Jenna Edwards●
- Matthew Shoemaker●
- Kasy Barham●
- Bruce Kimmell●
- Eric Paisley●
- Jiarong Qi●
- Aaron Johnson●
Events & fights
(5)
VIRTUS IN ARMIS: The Art of the Duel 2025●
November 2025 · us
9 fights
▾
November 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 676 ▼15 · 1,257.1
LOSS
Chris Holloman●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Rapier
· Consolation Semifinals
Score 3-7 · 3 doubles
Review →
1390 53%
WIN
Gabriel Luis●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Rapier
· Pools
Score 7-6 · 5 doubles
Review →
LOSS
Will Espeseth●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Rapier
· Pools
Score 6-7 · 4 doubles
Review →
LOSS
Jayce Williamson●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Rapier
· Pools
Score 6-7 · 2 doubles
Review →
LOSS
1351 50%
LOSS
Chris Holloman●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Rapier
· Pools
Score 3-7 · 3 doubles
Review →
1390 53%
LOSS
WIN
Jayce Williamson●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Rapier
· Top 12
Score 6-7 · 2 doubles
Review →
WIN
1351 50%
Duel For The Jewel 2025●
October 2025 · us
23 fights
▾
October 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 796 ▲269 · 1,459.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 1381 ▲8 · 1,128.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 664 · 1,257.3
WIN
Luke Letsinger●
·
Columbus United Fencing Club●
Longsword
· Consolation Bracket
Score 5-5 · 2 doubles
Review →
1265 73%
LOSS
Branden Zipplinger●
·
Columbus United Fencing Club●
Longsword
· Consolation Semifinals
Score 2-7
Review →
1850 16%
LOSS
1061 68%
WIN
1265 73%
WIN
WIN
1249 74%
LOSS
1850 16%
13 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1028 ▲311 · 1,412.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 1320 ▲440 · 1,116.0
WIN
WIN
1062 67%
LOSS
1589 42%
WIN
1331 55%
WIN
978 43%
WIN
1172 31%
WIN
1017 40%
18 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1144 · 1,363.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 1526 · 987.8
Hussar's Honour: Military Sabre and Singlestick Challenge 2025●
February 2025 · us
15 fights
▾
February 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 1526 · 987.8
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 293 · 1,022.1
LOSS
1044
LOSS
LOSS
Steven Jennett●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Singlestick
· Pool Set 1
Score 6-7
Review →
DRAW
Nicholas Tyson●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Singlestick
· Pool Set 1
Score 7-7
Review →
LOSS
LOSS
Donald Kullman●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Singlestick
· Pool Set 1
Score 6-7
Review →
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.
Regional At least one of this fighter's ratings is "island" - their rank/percentile is relative to an isolated regional scene, not the global population. Cross-scene rating comparisons are unreliable.