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Justin Northrop
Inactive 12m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
980
#5,239
Peak
988
September 2025
Record
4W · 22L · 1D
Last
September 2025
Scout analysis
Longsword
4W · 22L · 1D (15%)
Longsword
4W · 22L · 1D (15%)
Form
Rising
Recent 23% vs older 8%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 23% vs older 8%
Record: 4W · 22L · 1D (15%)
Recent half (13 fights): 23%
Older half (13 fights): 8%
Delta: +15%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 27 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-0.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-0.5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.5
(3 actual / 3.5 expected, n=14)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
6 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
6 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 3.88
Avg exchanges / match: 5.2
Doubles / match: 1.33
First scorer rate: 33%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 100%
Comeback wins (was behind): 0%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 15%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 15%
Pool stage: 4W · 22L (15%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 980
Peak rating: 988 (September 2025)
Gap to peak: -8
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Messer
4W · 5L (44%)
Messer
4W · 5L (44%)
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
Record: 4W · 5L (44%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 50%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 9 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 44%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 44%
Pool stage: 4W · 5L (44%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
4 events · us · 3.4 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Reach
4 events · us · 3.4 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 41
Fights / year: 10.5
Rated weapons: 1
Clubmates
·
Nachreisen Historical Fencing●
(20)
- Amber Damare●
- Josh Furrate●
- Michelle Forbes●
- Kenneth Ostrom●
- Matthew Allen●
- Dustin Mcmorris●
- Lawrence Mascaro●
- Nick Buras●
- Jeffrey Cristina●
- Kendall Morgan●
- Sophie Lin-Wiese●
- Jacob Taylor●
- Adam Judice●
- Zachary Robinson●
- Amy Northrop●
- Brayden Olsen●
- Kameron Olsen●
- Zach Robinson●
- Logan Raymond●
- Garrett Rivere●
Events & fights
(4)
Chuck-Fecht 2025●
September 2025 · us
10 fights
▾
September 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 4685 ▲619 · 988.7
LOSS
1589 6%
LOSS
1248 24%
WIN
1139 30%
LOSS
LOSS
David Schneider●
Messer
· !! Attention !! Excluded From Scoring Calculations Pool Round 2
Score 0-7
Review →
WIN
Allan Lyons●
·
Lake Charles HEMA Academy●
Messer
· !! Attention !! Excluded From Scoring Calculations Pool Round 2
Score 3-1
Review →
WIN
Stephen Heacock●
·
Arena Weapon Arts●
Messer
· !! Attention !! Excluded From Scoring Calculations Pool Round 2
Score 0-3 · 3 doubles
Review →
Bayou Fecht 2024●
May 2024 · us
14 fights
▾
May 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3612 ▲57 · 926.6
WIN
1399 16%
LOSS
Nicholas Lozuk●
·
Historical Swordfighting Guild of UT Dallas●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 0-4
Review →
1425 15%
LOSS
Aidan Witherspoon●
·
Medieval European Martial Arts Guild●
Messer
· Pool Set 1
Score 1-3 · 1 double
Review →
Fence-acola 2024●
April 2024 · us
4 fights
▾
April 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3669 ▲132 · 901.2
Bayou Fecht 2022●
May 2022 · us
8 fights
▾
May 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1552 · 875.2
LOSS
1339
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.