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Pavlos Nelson
Inactive 16m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1509
#621
Peak
1529
April 2025
Record
52W · 31L · 7D
Last
April 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1293
Peak
1329
May 2019
Record
6W · 5L
Last
February 2022
Scout analysis
Longsword
52W · 31L · 7D (58%)
Longsword
52W · 31L · 7D (58%)
Form
Rising
Recent 64% vs older 51%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 64% vs older 51%
Record: 52W · 31L · 7D (58%)
Recent half (45 fights): 64%
Older half (45 fights): 51%
Delta: +13%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 90 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+1.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+1.5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 9
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 5
Over/under vs expectation:
+1.5
(38 actual / 36.5 expected, n=71)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 66% · Elim 44%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 66% · Elim 44%
Pool stage: 38W · 20L (66%)
Elimination: 7W · 9L (44%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1509
Peak rating: 1529 (April 2025)
Gap to peak: -19
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
34W · 20L · 1D
(62%)
+1.9 vs expectation
(n=40)
avg opponent 1275
Mixed Steel Longsword (Intermediate)
6W · 3L · 3D
(50%)
0 vs expectation
(n=10)
avg opponent 1233
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier B)
7W · 1L · 2D
(70%)
+0.4 vs expectation
(n=10)
avg opponent 1255
Mixed Steel Longsword (Advanced)
2W · 7L
(22%)
-1.8 vs expectation
(n=8)
avg opponent 1550
+4 fights in 1 thinner division
Dussack
7W · 4L (64%)
Dussack
7W · 4L (64%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 40% vs older 80%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 40% vs older 80%
Record: 7W · 4L (64%)
Recent half (5 fights): 40%
Older half (5 fights): 80%
Delta: -40%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 11 recorded dussack fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 64%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 64%
Pool stage: 7W · 4L (64%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier
6W · 4L (60%)
Rapier
6W · 4L (60%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 40% vs older 80%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 40% vs older 80%
Record: 6W · 4L (60%)
Recent half (5 fights): 40%
Older half (5 fights): 80%
Delta: -40%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 10 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 83% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 83% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 5W · 1L (83%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
36 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
36 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1293
Peak rating: 1329 (May 2019)
Gap to peak: -36
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
11 events · us · 6.9 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
11 events · us · 6.9 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 11
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 83
Fights / year: 16
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Lake Charles HEMA Academy●
(17)
Events & fights
(11)
Fence-acola II 2025●
April 2025 · us
7 fights
▾
April 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 440 ▲93 · 1,529.2
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 450 ▲187 · 1,506.9
Fence-acola 2024●
April 2024 · us
4 fights
▾
April 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 563 ▲28 · 1,460.6
Bayou Fecht 2022●
May 2022 · us
12 fights
▾
May 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 233 ▲133 · 1,484.4
Purpleheart Open 2022●
February 2022 · us
9 fights
▾
February 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 313 ▼35 · 1,389.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 90 ▲12 · 1,329.2
Gesellen Fechten 2021●
October 2021 · us
8 fights
▾
October 2021 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 347 ▲139 · 1,425.8
Baton Rouge Open 2019●
May 2019 · us
12 fights
▾
May 2019 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 791 ▼144 · 1,349.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 172 · 1,329.2
LOSS
Micala Newland●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 6-8
Review →
1091 66%
LOSS
1426 43%
WIN
866 83%
Gesellen Fechten 2019●
October 2019 · us
12 fights
▾
October 2019 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 643 ▲211 · 1,407.4
Showdown in No-Town 2019●
April 2019 · us
22 fights
▾
April 2019 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 647 ▲501 · 1,384.7
WIN
1488 30%
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1005 ▲227 · 1,249.5
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1202 · 1,173.6
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.