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Lucas Needel
Inactive 14m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Current
1349
#380
Peak
1426
June 2023
Record
12W · 9L
Last
June 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Current
1346
#493
Peak
1359
June 2025
Record
10W · 9L · 4D
Last
June 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Current
1283
#447
Peak
1295
June 2025
Record
10W · 9L · 4D
Last
June 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
778
Peak
795
June 2023
Record
0W · 3L
Last
June 2023
Scout analysis
Rapier & Dagger
13W · 12L (52%)
Rapier & Dagger
13W · 12L (52%)
Form
Rising
Recent 58% vs older 42%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 58% vs older 42%
Record: 13W · 12L (52%)
Recent half (12 fights): 58%
Older half (12 fights): 42%
Delta: +16%
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 25 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-0 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-0 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-0
(4 actual / 4 expected, n=8)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.5
Avg exchanges / match: 1
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 67%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 100%
Comeback wins (was behind): 0%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 52%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 52%
Pool stage: 12W · 11L (52%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier
10W · 9L · 4D (43%)
Rapier
10W · 9L · 4D (43%)
Form
Rising
Recent 55% vs older 27%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 55% vs older 27%
Record: 10W · 9L · 4D (43%)
Recent half (11 fights): 55%
Older half (11 fights): 27%
Delta: +28%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 23 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.9 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+0.9 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
+0.9
(8 actual / 7.1 expected, n=15)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 60% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 60% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 6W · 4L (60%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1346
Peak rating: 1359 (June 2025)
Gap to peak: -12
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sword & Buckler
12W · 9L (57%)
Sword & Buckler
12W · 9L (57%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 60%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 60%
Record: 12W · 9L (57%)
Recent half (10 fights): 50%
Older half (10 fights): 60%
Delta: -10%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 21 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.7 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.7 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.7
(3 actual / 4.7 expected, n=8)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 60% · Elim 50%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 60% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 9W · 6L (60%)
Elimination: 3W · 3L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
76 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
76 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1349
Peak rating: 1426 (June 2023)
Gap to peak: -76
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Arming Sword & Buckler
10W · 7L
(59%)
-0.9 vs expectation
(n=5)
avg opponent 1256
+4 fights in 1 thinner division
Sabre
0W · 3L (0%)
Sabre
0W · 3L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Form
Building
0% win rate · 3 fights
Record: 0W · 3L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 3 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 3L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 778
Peak rating: 795 (June 2023)
Gap to peak: -17
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
5 events · us · 3.1 yrs active
3 rated weapons
▾
Reach
5 events · us · 3.1 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 5
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 37
Fights / year: 23.4
Rated weapons: 3
Clubmates
·
Athens School of Arms●
(24)
- Jacob Pendergraft●
- Omkar Kale●
- Rachel Carlyle●
- John Blood●
- Aiden Lewis●
- Dominic Francesconi●
- Jamie Watkins●
- Ricardo Camaran●
- Lawrence Robinson●
- Beni Rodriguez●
- John Haley●
- John Pence●
- John Tong●
- Micah Webb●
- Nicholas Galluzzo●
- Marlene Jocke●
- Sam Sparks●
- Hung Duc Nguyen●
- Grant Bon●
- Catherine Nolan●
- Thorin Moriaz●
- Jack Haley●
- Neil Meyer●
- Oun Chau●
Events & fights
(5)
SERFO - Southeast Renaissance Fencing Open 2025●
June 2025 · us
17 fights
▾
June 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 345 ▲28 · 1,295.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 383 ▲96 · 1,359.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 336 ▼25 · 1,360.6
LOSS
17 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 269 ▲155 · 1,276.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 324 ▲94 · 1,320.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 257 ▲12 · 1,383.1
WIN
1367 47%
LOSS
1407 52%
Fence-acola 2024●
April 2024 · us
7 fights
▾
April 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 400 ▼9 · 1,128.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 260 ▼65 · 1,367.7
18 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 1018 · 795.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 306 ▼82 · 1,123.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 287 ▲10 · 1,251.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 155 · 1,426.2
LOSS
1230 60%
LOSS
1383 39%
13 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 117 · 1,205.6
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 195 · 1,212.1
LOSS
1329
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.