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Josh Saito
Inactive 15m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1451
#932
Peak
1487
May 2025
Record
62W · 37L · 13D
Last
June 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Current
1224
#557
Peak
1232
June 2025
Record
10W · 23L · 3D
Last
June 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Current
1113
#1,112
Peak
1124
June 2025
Record
10W · 23L · 3D
Last
June 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Current
1218
#634
Peak
1231
May 2025
Record
4W · 9L
Last
May 2025
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Current
1168
#242
Peak
1181
August 2024
Record
3W · 2L
Last
August 2024
Scout analysis
Longsword
62W · 37L · 13D (55%)
Longsword
62W · 37L · 13D (55%)
Form
Steady
Recent 59% vs older 52%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 59% vs older 52%
Record: 62W · 37L · 13D (55%)
Recent half (56 fights): 59%
Older half (56 fights): 52%
Delta: +7%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 112 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-3.6 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-3.6 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 3
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 8
Over/under vs expectation:
-3.6
(38 actual / 41.6 expected, n=77)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
14 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
14 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 2.15
Avg exchanges / match: 6
Doubles / match: 0.93
First scorer rate: 50%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 29%
Comeback wins (was behind): 86%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 63% · Elim 63%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 63% · Elim 63%
Pool stage: 57W · 33L (63%)
Elimination: 5W · 3L (63%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
36 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
36 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1451
Peak rating: 1487 (May 2025)
Gap to peak: -36
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
38W · 20L · 6D
(59%)
+0.4 vs expectation
(n=45)
avg opponent 1224
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier B)
8W · 5L · 3D
(50%)
-2.2 vs expectation
(n=14)
avg opponent 1247
Mixed Steel Longsword (Pools)
7W · 6L · 3D
(44%)
-1.5 vs expectation
(n=5)
avg opponent 1362
Mixed Steel Longsword (Open)
8W · 3L · 1D
(67%)
+0.6 vs expectation
(n=9)
avg opponent 1314
+4 fights in 1 thinner division
Rapier
10W · 23L · 3D (28%)
Rapier
10W · 23L · 3D (28%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 17% vs older 39%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 17% vs older 39%
Record: 10W · 23L · 3D (28%)
Recent half (18 fights): 17%
Older half (18 fights): 39%
Delta: -22%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 36 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-1.6 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-1.6 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.6
(1 actual / 2.6 expected, n=9)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 32% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 32% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 9W · 19L (32%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1224
Peak rating: 1232 (June 2025)
Gap to peak: -7
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Single Rapier
4W · 13L · 3D
(20%)
-1.6 vs expectation
(n=9)
avg opponent 1312
Mixed Steel Rapier And Any Sidearm
6W · 10L
(38%)
Mixed Weapon
15W · 17L · 1D (45%)
Mixed Weapon
15W · 17L · 1D (45%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 38%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 38%
Record: 15W · 17L · 1D (45%)
Recent half (16 fights): 50%
Older half (16 fights): 38%
Delta: +12%
Current streak: 5 Wins
Based on 33 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 3
Avg exchanges / match: 3
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 50%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 44% · Elim 75%
▾
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 44% · Elim 75%
Pool stage: 12W · 15L (44%)
Elimination: 3W · 1L (75%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Any Steel One-Handed Weapon With Any Sidearm
15W · 13L · 1D
(52%)
+4 fights in 1 thinner division
Sword & Buckler
4W · 9L (31%)
Sword & Buckler
4W · 9L (31%)
Form
Steady
Recent 33% vs older 33%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 33% vs older 33%
Record: 4W · 9L (31%)
Recent half (6 fights): 33%
Older half (6 fights): 33%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 13 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 31%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 31%
Pool stage: 4W · 9L (31%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1218
Peak rating: 1231 (May 2025)
Gap to peak: -12
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sidesword
3W · 6L · 3D (25%)
Sidesword
3W · 6L · 3D (25%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 0%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 0%
Record: 3W · 6L · 3D (25%)
Recent half (6 fights): 50%
Older half (6 fights): 0%
Delta: +50%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 12 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-1.7 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-1.7 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.7
(1 actual / 2.7 expected, n=9)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 3W · 6L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Messer
3W · 3L · 2D (38%)
Messer
3W · 3L · 2D (38%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 25%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 25%
Record: 3W · 3L · 2D (38%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 25%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 8 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 3W · 3L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier & Dagger
4W · 3L (57%)
Rapier & Dagger
4W · 3L (57%)
Form
Building
57% win rate · 7 fights
▾
Form
Building
57% win rate · 7 fights
Record: 4W · 3L (57%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 7 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 57%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 57%
Pool stage: 4W · 3L (57%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Singlestick
3W · 2L (60%)
Singlestick
3W · 2L (60%)
Form
Building
60% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
60% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 3W · 2L (60%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 5 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 2W · 1L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1168
Peak rating: 1181 (August 2024)
Gap to peak: -12
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Smallsword
2W · 2L (50%)
Smallsword
2W · 2L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 2W · 2L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 4 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 2W · 1L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
12 events · us · 2.7 yrs active
4 rated weapons
▾
Reach
12 events · us · 2.7 yrs active
4 rated weapons
Tournaments: 12
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 32
Fights / year: 86.3
Rated weapons: 4
Clubmates
·
Dallas School of Historical Fencing●
(49)
- Clark Simon●
- Jack Murray●
- Brandon Phan●
- Samuel Umbay●
- Bilal Haroon●
- Andrew Weems●
- Dylan Cryer●
- Derrick Berry●
- Kyle Callaway●
- Zaid Haroon●
- Oscar Chanthalath●
- Alexander Xi●
- Laura Carnes●
- Beatrice Lostracco●
- Sean MacLean●
- Dax Moore●
- Sean Hanson●
- Juancamilo Colmenares●
- William Coe●
- Daniel Brittin●
- Demetrius Carpenter●
- Jackson Overman●
- Isaac Nesin●
- Jessica Hicks●
- Jorge Madrigal●
- Zane Kupper●
- Coyt Ransom●
- Alexandra England●
- Ethan Kirk●
- Jay Tunui●
- David Hauer●
- Remone Durham●
- Jaime Guerrero●
- Paige Smith●
- Spencer Riley●
- William Bonilla●
- Sara Wilson●
- Hunter Clayton●
- Connor B Richardson●
- Byung Sho●
- Alexander Becker●
- Abigail Beard●
- Andrew Champion●
- Jan Bautista●
- Zach Fisk●
- Paul Pleasent●
- Jesse Willson●
- Nicholas Mikelonis●
- Yazan Al-amin●
Events & fights
(12)
Spring Fechten 2025●
May 2025 · us
24 fights
▾
May 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 623 ▲137 · 1,487.6
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 551 ▲165 · 1,231.1
LOSS
Michael Keller●
·
Wichita Fencing & HEMA Academy●
Longsword
· Elim Pools
Score 0-4 · 1 double
Review →
1542 32%
WIN
Mark Heidrick●
·
Wichita Fencing & HEMA Academy●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 3-2
Review →
LOSS
Michael Keller●
·
Wichita Fencing & HEMA Academy●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 0-4 · 1 double
Review →
1542 32%
WIN
Ronan Davis●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 5-0
Review →
946 89%
WIN
Timothy D'Ambrosio●
·
Monarch Historical Fencing●
Longsword
· Second Round of Pools
Score 3-0
Review →
1310 45%
LOSS
Zeke Rozell●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Sidesword
· First Round of Pools
Score 1-3
Review →
1526 21%
LOSS
Jeff Gibson●
·
Aegis Historical Combat Training●
Sidesword
· First Round of Pools
Score 2-3
Review →
1190 41%
LOSS
1149 40%
WIN
Timothy D'Ambrosio●
·
Monarch Historical Fencing●
Sidesword
· First Round of Pools
Score 3-0
Review →
SERFO - Southeast Renaissance Fencing Open 2025●
June 2025 · us
15 fights
▾
June 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 710 ▼87 · 1,472.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 446 · 1,232.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 922 ▲171 · 1,124.4
LOSS
Connor Turley●
·
Metropolitan Historical Fencing Academy●
Rapier & Dagger
· Pool Set 1
Score 0-1
Review →
1622
WIN
1290
WIN
1108
December to Dismember 2024●
December 2024 · us
15 fights
▾
December 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 665 ▲52 · 1,458.6
LOSS
1506 39%
22 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 692 ▲40 · 1,446.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 845 ▼39 · 1,050.9
Donnybrook 2024●
August 2024 · us
22 fights
▾
August 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 716 ▲56 · 1,431.3
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 137 · 1,181.3
WIN
Torin Dabbs●
·
Burning Sun Historical Swordsmanship●
Longsword
· Elimination Bracket
Score 9-4
Review →
LOSS
1488 38%
WIN
Mads Arnautov●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 9-2
Review →
558 91%
LOSS
Lucas Olson●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Mixed Weapon
· Elimination Bracket
Score 4-11
Review →
LOSS
Lucas Olson●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Rapier
· Elimination Bracket
Score 4-11
Review →
LOSS
Panzerschweinfechten 2024●
April 2024 · us
8 fights
▾
April 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 685 ▲79 · 1,422.7
Gesellen Fechten 2023●
October 2023 · us
32 fights
▾
October 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 717 ▼16 · 1,395.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 591 · 1,051.9
WIN
LOSS
Ryan Hetchler●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 1-2
Review →
1693 14%
DRAW
1346 41%
DRAW
1349 55%
LOSS
1412 48%
LOSS
1579 25%
WIN
Elliot Robinson●
·
Schule des inneren Schwertes●
Mixed Weapon
· First Round of Pools
Score 2-1
Review →
LOSS
Sam Starrett●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Mixed Weapon
· First Round of Pools
Score 1-2
Review →
AMCF/HEMAA Collaborative 2023●
December 2023 · us
25 fights
▾
December 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 706 ▲42 · 1,404.0
Spring Fechten 2023●
May 2023 · us
20 fights
▾
May 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 606 ▲193 · 1,399.6
LOSS
950 80%
LOSS
Dario Pewett●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Messer
· First Round Pools
Score 1-2
Review →
DRAW
Kyle Penwright●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Messer
· First Round Pools
Score 1-1
Review →
WIN
Kyle Penwright●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Messer
· Second Round Pool
Score 1-1
Review →
Schnegel Fechten 2023●
March 2023 · us
7 fights
▾
March 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 775 ▲24 · 1,332.3
LOSS
1054 75%
Gesellen Fechten 2022●
October 2022 · us
10 fights
▾
October 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 933 · 1,228.2
WIN
Jose Ortiz Inchausty●
·
Esgrima Antigua e Histórica de Puerto Rico y del Caribe●
Longsword
· Elimination Bracket
1113
WEIRD Open 2023●
January 2023 · us
30 fights
▾
January 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 764 ▲243 · 1,312.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 329 · 1,139.0
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.