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Sergio Carabellese

Centerline Sword School · United States
Inactive 31m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1004
Peak
1020 January 2024
Record
2W · 2L
Last
January 2024
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
969
Peak
992 October 2023
Record
2W · 8L · 1D
Last
October 2023

Scout analysis

Rapier

2W · 8L · 1D (18%)
Form
Steady
Recent 20% vs older 20%
Record: 2W · 8L · 1D (18%)
Recent half (5 fights): 20%
Older half (5 fights): 20%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 11 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 20%
Pool stage: 2W · 8L (20%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
23 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 969
Peak rating: 992 (October 2023)
Gap to peak: -23
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Longsword

2W · 2L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 2W · 2L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 4 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 2W · 2L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1004
Peak rating: 1020 (January 2024)
Gap to peak: -16
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · us · 3 mo active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 3
Fights / year: 60
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Centerline Sword School (15)

Events & fights (2)

Midwinter Armizare Open 2024
January 2024 · us
4 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2839 · 1,020.7
WIN
1071
WIN
Allison Crump · Chicago Swordplay Guild Longsword · Pool Set 1
959
LOSS
Jason Roggenbuck · Ars Gladii Longsword · Pool Set 1
1178
LOSS
Brian Fleming · Center for Blade Arts Longsword · Pool Set 1
1209
Four Openings Rapier Tournament 2023
October 2023 · us
No match-level data
11 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 666 · 992.6
LOSS
Thayne Alexander · Lansing Longsword Guild Rapier · Fechtschule pool 3
LOSS
Cameron Metcalf · Centerline Sword School Rapier · Fechtschule pool 3
1238
LOSS
Raphael Ku · Ann Arbor Sword Club Rapier · Fechtschule pool 3
WIN
Nat Morse-Noland · Chicago Swordplay Guild Rapier · Fechtschule pool 3
DRAW
Shane Hillen · Centerline Sword School Rapier · Fechtschule pool 3
LOSS
Nathaniel Tinker · Ann Arbor Sword Club Rapier · Fechtschule pool 3
LOSS
Scott Jeffers · Chicago Swordplay Guild Rapier · Sword Alone pool 1
LOSS
John Westendorf · Lansing Longsword Guild Rapier · Sword Alone pool 1
WIN
Thomas Nagle · Ars Gladii Rapier · Sword Alone pool 1
LOSS
Anders Johnson · Ann Arbor Sword Club Rapier · Sword Alone pool 1
LOSS
Nathaniel Tinker · Ann Arbor Sword Club Rapier · Sword Alone pool 1
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.