Checking for newer data...
Newer data is available for this fighter.
Ian Kozic
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Current
1460
#204
Peak
1466
October 2025
Record
18W · 14L · 1D
Last
October 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Current
1411
#345
Peak
1420
October 2025
Record
18W · 14L · 1D
Last
October 2025
Scout analysis
Rapier
18W · 14L · 1D (55%)
Rapier
18W · 14L · 1D (55%)
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 31%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 31%
Record: 18W · 14L · 1D (55%)
Recent half (16 fights): 75%
Older half (16 fights): 31%
Delta: +44%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 33 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+3.6 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+3.6 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
+3.6
(11 actual / 7.4 expected, n=15)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 56%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 56%
Pool stage: 18W · 14L (56%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1460
Peak rating: 1466 (October 2025)
Gap to peak: -6
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Single Rapier
12W · 13L · 1D
(46%)
+1.6 vs expectation
(n=11)
avg opponent 1263
+7 fights in 1 thinner division
Rapier & Dagger
10W · 4L (71%)
Rapier & Dagger
10W · 4L (71%)
Form
Rising
Recent 86% vs older 57%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 86% vs older 57%
Record: 10W · 4L (71%)
Recent half (7 fights): 86%
Older half (7 fights): 57%
Delta: +29%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 14 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 71%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 71%
Pool stage: 10W · 4L (71%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Dagger
2W · 2L (50%)
Dagger
2W · 2L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 2W · 2L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 4 recorded dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
3W · 1L (75%)
Mixed Weapon
3W · 1L (75%)
Form
Building
75% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
75% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 3W · 1L (75%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 4 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
Pool stage: 3W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · us · 2.3 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Reach
3 events · us · 2.3 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 28
Fights / year: 23.6
Rated weapons: 1
Clubmates
·
Centerline Sword School●
(15)
Events & fights
(5)
14 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 152 ▲234 · 1,466.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 310 ▲145 · 1,420.5
WIN
Daniel Rauens●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Rapier & Dagger
· Rapier And Dagger 2025 pool 2
1344 43%
WIN
Matthew Currey●
·
Tempered Mettle Historical Fencing●
Rapier & Dagger
· Rapier And Dagger 2025 pool 2
1101 67%
WIN
1321 49%
LOSS
Reid Roubidoux●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Rapier & Dagger
· Rapier And Dagger 2025 pool 2
LOSS
1477 35%
WIN
1224 56%
21 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 299 · 1,270.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 304 ▲294 · 1,346.8
WIN
1190
LOSS
1029
LOSS
Thomas Nicol●
·
Tempered Mettle Historical Fencing●
Rapier & Dagger
· Day 2 Rapier and Dagger '24 pool 2
WIN
Thayne Alexander●
·
Lansing Longsword Guild●
Rapier & Dagger
· Day 2 Rapier and Dagger '24 pool 2
1231
WIN
Stratos Kotzabassi●
·
Ann Arbor Sword Club●
Rapier & Dagger
· Day 2 Rapier and Dagger '24 pool 2
1133
WIN
Corben Babcock●
·
Tempered Mettle Historical Fencing●
Rapier & Dagger
· Day 2 Rapier and Dagger '24 pool 2
LOSS
12 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 438 · 1,168.2
Midwinter Armizare Open 2026○
February 2026
No match-level data
4 fights
▾
February 2026
No match-level data
Shanksgiving 2025○
November 2025
No match-level data
4 fights
▾
November 2025
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.