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Thayne Alexander
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Current
1437
#323
Peak
1489
October 2024
Record
22W · 11L
Last
October 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Current
1352
#357
Peak
1364
October 2025
Record
22W · 11L
Last
October 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1412
#1,210
Peak
1489
January 2019
Record
28W · 12L
Last
September 2024
Scout analysis
Longsword
26W · 11L (70%)
Longsword
26W · 11L (70%)
Form
Steady
Recent 72% vs older 67%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 72% vs older 67%
Record: 26W · 11L (70%)
Recent half (18 fights): 72%
Older half (18 fights): 67%
Delta: +5%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 37 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 6
Over/under vs expectation:
-1
(14 actual / 15 expected, n=23)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 72%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 72%
Pool stage: 21W · 8L (72%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
77 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
77 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1412
Peak rating: 1489 (January 2019)
Gap to peak: -77
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
17W · 7L
(71%)
+0.4 vs expectation
(n=15)
avg opponent 1247
+13 fights in 3 thinner divisions
Rapier
22W · 11L (67%)
Rapier
22W · 11L (67%)
Form
Steady
Recent 69% vs older 63%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 69% vs older 63%
Record: 22W · 11L (67%)
Recent half (16 fights): 69%
Older half (16 fights): 63%
Delta: +6%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 33 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.4 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.4 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.4
(7 actual / 7.4 expected, n=12)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 22W · 11L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
52 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
52 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1437
Peak rating: 1489 (October 2024)
Gap to peak: -52
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Single Rapier
17W · 9L
(65%)
-0.3 vs expectation
(n=10)
avg opponent 1174
+7 fights in 1 thinner division
Rapier & Dagger
13W · 11L (54%)
Rapier & Dagger
13W · 11L (54%)
Form
Steady
Recent 58% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 58% vs older 50%
Record: 13W · 11L (54%)
Recent half (12 fights): 58%
Older half (12 fights): 50%
Delta: +8%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 24 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-0.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-0.5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.5
(4 actual / 4.5 expected, n=9)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 55% · Elim 67%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 55% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 11W · 9L (55%)
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
13W · 9L (59%)
Mixed Weapon
13W · 9L (59%)
Form
Steady
Recent 64% vs older 55%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 64% vs older 55%
Record: 13W · 9L (59%)
Recent half (11 fights): 64%
Older half (11 fights): 55%
Delta: +9%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 22 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 10W · 5L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Any One-Handed Weapon
11W · 6L
(65%)
+5 fights in 1 thinner division
Reach
10 events · us · 8.9 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
10 events · us · 8.9 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 10
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 107
Fights / year: 13
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Lansing Longsword Guild●
(13)
Events & fights
(10)
18 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 271 ▲179 · 1,367.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 266 ▼37 · 1,449.5
WIN
Ben Welch●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Rapier & Dagger
· Rapier And Dagger 2025 Finals
LOSS
1321 42%
WIN
Reid Roubidoux●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Rapier & Dagger
· Rapier And Dagger 2025 Finals
LOSS
1321 42%
WIN
Ben Welch●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Rapier & Dagger
· Rapier And Dagger 2025 pool 1
WIN
Patrick Stahl●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Rapier & Dagger
· Rapier And Dagger 2025 pool 1
1317 40%
WIN
1200 51%
WIN
Lucas Olson●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Rapier & Dagger
· Rapier And Dagger 2025 pool 1
914 59%
LOSS
1231 46%
LOSS
936 78%
21 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 344 ▼7 · 1,239.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 154 ▲191 · 1,489.7
WIN
Corben Babcock●
·
Tempered Mettle Historical Fencing●
Rapier & Dagger
· Day 2 Rapier and Dagger '24 pool 2
WIN
1164 53%
WIN
Thomas Nicol●
·
Tempered Mettle Historical Fencing●
Rapier & Dagger
· Day 2 Rapier and Dagger '24 pool 2
LOSS
1029 54%
LOSS
Stratos Kotzabassi●
·
Ann Arbor Sword Club●
Rapier & Dagger
· Day 2 Rapier and Dagger '24 pool 2
1133 66%
AG Open 2024●
September 2024 · us
4 fights
▾
September 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 703 ▲28 · 1,437.9
AG 25th Anniversary Tournament 2024●
April 2024 · us
5 fights
▾
April 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 650 ▼58 · 1,432.5
LOSS
Christopher Yang●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Quarterfinals
Score 2-11
Review →
1568 49%
18 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 250 · 1,239.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 267 · 1,309.6
LOSS
1174
12 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 200 ▲105 · 1,476.3
8 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 575 ▼154 · 1,424.7
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 340 ▲98 · 1,489.5
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 411 ▲379 · 1,442.9
11 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 297 · 1,322.3
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.