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Patrick Armario
Inactive 21m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Current
1026
#1,147
Peak
1037
March 2025
Record
0W · 0L
Last
March 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1133
#3,871
Peak
1172
October 2024
Record
4W · 7L · 6D
Last
December 2024
Scout analysis
Longsword
4W · 7L · 6D (24%)
Longsword
4W · 7L · 6D (24%)
Form
Rising
Recent 38% vs older 13%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 38% vs older 13%
Record: 4W · 7L · 6D (24%)
Recent half (8 fights): 38%
Older half (8 fights): 13%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 17 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-1.4 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-1.4 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.4
(3 actual / 4.4 expected, n=11)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
Pool stage: 4W · 6L (40%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
39 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
39 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1133
Peak rating: 1172 (October 2024)
Gap to peak: -39
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Messer
3W · 9L · 3D (20%)
Messer
3W · 9L · 3D (20%)
Form
Rising
Recent 29% vs older 14%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 29% vs older 14%
Record: 3W · 9L · 3D (20%)
Recent half (7 fights): 29%
Older half (7 fights): 14%
Delta: +15%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 15 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 3W · 9L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
3W · 3L · 3D (33%)
Mixed Weapon
3W · 3L · 3D (33%)
Form
Steady
Recent 25% vs older 25%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 25% vs older 25%
Record: 3W · 3L · 3D (33%)
Recent half (4 fights): 25%
Older half (4 fights): 25%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 9 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 2W · 2L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+9 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Sidesword
2W · 3L · 1D (33%)
Sidesword
2W · 3L · 1D (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
33% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 2W · 3L · 1D (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 6 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Spear
3W · 2L (60%)
Spear
3W · 2L (60%)
Form
Building
60% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
60% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 3W · 2L (60%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 5 recorded spear fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
Pool stage: 3W · 1L (75%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Other
1W · 3L (25%)
Other
1W · 3L (25%)
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 1W · 3L (25%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 4 recorded fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
4 events · us · 8 mo active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
4 events · us · 8 mo active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 8
Fights / year: 84
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Arena Weapon Arts●
(72)
- Beau Hulgan●
- Eric Shattuck●
- Seneca Savoie●
- Jason Zamora●
- Bryant Coston●
- Dmitry Tolstinev●
- Jeremy Petersen●
- Garett Jaeger●
- Natalie Johanek●
- Aleksandra Shlychkova●
- Martin Colunga●
- Benjamin Grosse-Siestrup●
- Colin Myers●
- Jesse Wilson●
- Isaiah Johnson●
- Phoenix Torres●
- Logan Debehnke●
- Srikar Bollavaram●
- Jordan Shearer●
- Mikhail Timofeev●
- Sean O'Connor●
- Abigail Sims●
- Aaron Hamilton●
- Elijah Grigsby●
- Josh Russell●
- Shun Guan●
- Arturo Melgoza●
- Hunter Coxe●
- Christopher Willoughby●
- James Hilty●
- Christian Combest●
- Eli Zev●
- Jacob Sorrentino●
- Michael Smith●
- Kirby Becker●
- Danica Driscoll●
- Leo Ambrosetti●
- Chuck Reina●
- Thad Doan●
- Matthew Manangkalangi●
- Sage Kizer●
- Scout Goldsmith●
- Chris Corbett●
- Michelangelo De La O●
- Egan Grey●
- Hao Nguyen●
- Ian McOran-Campbell●
- Quinn Swanson●
- Alex Easingwood●
- Andrew Ordonez●
- Arjun Birajdar●
- Timothy Porter●
- Jeff DeSouza●
- Charles Hinton●
- Jengo Russell●
- Ashley Yarborough●
- Chase Cowart●
- Harrison Cowart●
- Ty Weber●
- Wesley Linder●
- Daniel Sanders●
- Kino Pocaressi●
- Michael Colvin●
- Nicholas Moore●
- Samuel Timmins●
- Scott Finlay●
- Scott Shreder●
- Zachary Simchak●
- Bradley Quinn●
- Keegan Collins●
- Erin Glavan●
- Stephen Heacock●
Events & fights
(6)
Hoplomachy 2025●
March 2025 · us
15 fights
▾
March 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 894 · 1,037.5
LOSS
Phoenix Torres●
·
Arena Weapon Arts●
Sidesword
· !! Attention !! Excluded From Scoring Calculations Pools
Score 1-8
Review →
1220
December to Dismember 2024●
December 2024 · us
9 fights
▾
December 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2575 ▼156 · 1,152.9
LOSS
1506 29%
SpookyFecht 2024●
October 2024 · us
9 fights
▾
October 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2328 ▲1742 · 1,172.8
LOSS
1322 37%
DRAW
Christopher Hahn●
·
Historical Swordfighting Guild of UT Dallas●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 2-2
Review →
1180 36%
Fall Fury 2024●
September 2024 · us
8 fights
▾
September 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 4070 · 906.8
Texas Audacious Knife Fight 2024○
August 2024
No match-level data
7 fights
▾
August 2024
No match-level data
Messer Mayhem 2025○
April 2025
No match-level data
8 fights
▾
April 2025
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.