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Bailey Shephard

Lake Charles HEMA Academy● · United States
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1392 #1,264
Peak
1418 April 2025
Record
20W · 14L · 1D
Last
September 2025

Scout analysis

Longsword

20W · 14L · 1D (57%)
Form
Steady
Recent 53% vs older 59%
▾
Record: 20W · 14L · 1D (57%)
Recent half (17 fights): 53%
Older half (17 fights): 59%
Delta: -6%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 35 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.3 vs expectation
▾
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: +0.3 (10 actual / 9.7 expected, n=18)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
▾
Exchanges per point: 1.31
Avg exchanges / match: 5.3
Doubles / match: 0.5
First scorer rate: 50%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 50%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 58%
▾
Pool stage: 18W · 13L (58%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
25 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1392
Peak rating: 1418 (April 2025)
Gap to peak: -25
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 12W · 11L (52%) -0.4 vs expectation (n=12) avg opponent 1350
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier C) 8W · 3L · 1D (67%) +0.7 vs expectation (n=6) avg opponent 973
Reach
4 events · us · 1.3 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 16
Fights / year: 26.3
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Lake Charles HEMA Academy● (17)

Events & fights (4)

Chuck-Fecht 2025●
September 2025 · us
7 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1107 ▼81 · 1,403.8
LOSS
Justin Vance● · Ordo Procinctus● Longsword · Pool Round 1 Score 3-6 Review →
1478 43%
WIN
Elijah Grigsby● · Arena Weapon Arts● Longsword · Pool Round 1 Score 9-2 Review →
WIN
Isabella Cordero● · Sword to Sword● Longsword · Pool Round 1 Score 3-2 · 2 doubles Review →
1070 64%
LOSS
Caleb Raney● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool Round 1 Score 1-6 Review →
1376 61%
LOSS
Alex Jonischkies● · Sword to Sword● Longsword · Pool Set 2
1501 44%
LOSS
Josh Furrate● · Nachreisen Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool Set 2
1589 33%
WIN
benjamin Crosier● Longsword · Pool Set 2
Bayou Fecht 2024●
May 2024 · us
8 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1679 · 1,229.4
LOSS
David Miller● · Sellsword Arts● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1430
WIN
Jon Garcia● · Austin Historical Weapons Guild● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1052
WIN
Collin Vredenburg● · Metropolitan Historical Fencing Academy● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1478
LOSS
Drew Wunderlich● · Ars Gladii● Longsword · Pool Set 1
649
LOSS
Tyler Dunham● · Ars Gladii● Longsword · Pool Set 2
1585
LOSS
Al Layman● · Système d’Armes● Longsword · Pool Set 2
1247
WIN
Nathaniel Bryant● · Lake Charles HEMA Academy● Longsword · Pool Set 2
1477
WIN
Greg Keeton● · Austin Historical Weapons Guild● Longsword · Pool Set 2
1399
Fence-acola II 2025●
April 2025 · us
8 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 927 ▲535 · 1,418.6
WIN
Erich Finckenor● · Rocket City HEMA● Longsword · Pools
1184 58%
WIN
Guy Martin● · Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy● Longsword · Pools
1084 61%
LOSS
Matthew Lilly● · Teeth Takers Historical Longsword● Longsword · Pools
1213 52%
WIN
Caleb DeWolf● · Crossroads Swords● Longsword · Pools
1594 26%
LOSS
Paul Groover● · Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy● Longsword · Pools
1595 29%
WIN
Eric Musgrove● · Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy● Longsword · Top 16
1504 39%
WIN
Donovan Hartlein● · Bold City Longsword● Longsword · Top 32
LOSS
Alex Jacklett● · Teeth Takers Historical Longsword● Longsword · Top 8
1492 30%
Gesellen Fechten 2024●
October 2024 · us
No match-level data
12 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1232 ▲628 · 1,331.5
WIN
Joe Anthony● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · pool 1
1017 72%
WIN
Bjoern Rydahl● · Historical Swordfighting Guild of UT Dallas● Longsword · pool 1
LOSS
Adam Bruce● · Wichita Fencing & HEMA Academy● Longsword · pool 1
1010 57%
DRAW
Conor McDonald● · East Texas Historical Fencing● Longsword · pool 1
WIN
Sam Walter● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · pool 3
924 78%
WIN
Kim Sheely● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · pool 3
873 86%
WIN
Nolan Montonye● · Wichita Fencing & HEMA Academy● Longsword · pool 3
LOSS
Bjoern Rydahl● · Historical Swordfighting Guild of UT Dallas● Longsword · pool 3
WIN
Zachary Holmes● · Accademia del Leone● Longsword · pool 5
1086 59%
WIN
Ethan Kirk● · Dallas School of Historical Fencing● Longsword · pool 5
928 75%
LOSS
Timothy D'Ambrosio● · Monarch Historical Fencing● Longsword · pool 5
WIN
Amber Brown● · Wichita Fencing & HEMA Academy● Longsword · pool 5
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.