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Justin Vance

Ordo Procinctus● · United States
Inactive 13m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1546 #508
Peak
1562 September 2025
Record
49W · 23L · 9D
Last
September 2025

Scout analysis

Longsword

49W · 23L · 9D (60%)
Form
Steady
Recent 57% vs older 65%
▾
Record: 49W · 23L · 9D (60%)
Recent half (40 fights): 57%
Older half (40 fights): 65%
Delta: -8%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 81 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-0.4 vs expectation
▾
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation: -0.4 (28 actual / 28.4 expected, n=52)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
11 exchange-coded matches
▾
Exchanges per point: 0.76
Avg exchanges / match: 6.4
Doubles / match: 0.55
First scorer rate: 82%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 18%
Comeback wins (was behind): 27%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 76% · Elim 62%
▾
Pool stage: 32W · 10L (76%)
Elimination: 8W · 5L (62%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Current rating: 1546
Peak rating: 1562 (September 2025)
Gap to peak: -15
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 46W · 21L · 9D (61%) -0.4 vs expectation (n=52) avg opponent 1368
+5 fights in 1 thinner division
Reach
8 events · us · 9.7 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 8
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 116
Fights / year: 8.4
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Ordo Procinctus● (41)

Events & fights (9)

Chuck-Fecht 2025●
September 2025 · us
12 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 386 ▲317 · 1,562.2
LOSS
Scott Southworth● · Sword to Sword● Longsword · Bronze Medal Match
1649 27%
WIN
Elijah Grigsby● · Arena Weapon Arts● Longsword · Pool Round 1 Score 6-0 · 2 doubles Review →
WIN
Bailey Shephard● · Lake Charles HEMA Academy● Longsword · Pool Round 1 Score 6-3 Review →
1413 57%
WIN
Isabella Cordero● · Sword to Sword● Longsword · Pool Round 1 Score 5-3 Review →
1070 68%
WIN
Caleb Raney● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool Round 1 Score 6-2 Review →
1376 68%
WIN
Jacob Porter● · Lake Charles HEMA Academy● Longsword · Pool Set 2
WIN
Bailey Catoire● · Sword to Sword● Longsword · Pool Set 2
WIN
Christopher Harrison● Longsword · Pool Set 2
WIN
Zach Eccles● · Lake Charles HEMA Academy● Longsword · Pool Set 2
LOSS
Luke Connell● · Sword to Sword● Longsword · Semifinals Score 2-3 Review →
1518 45%
WIN
Bailey Catoire● · Sword to Sword● Longsword · Top 16
WIN
Martin Colunga● · Arena Weapon Arts● Longsword · Top 8 Score 5-1 · 1 double Review →
1218 74%
Summer Fechten 2023●
August 2023 · us
12 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 340 ▲137 · 1,512.5
LOSS
Michael Hakes● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Elim Pools
1612 32%
DRAW
Timothy Ho● · Accademia del Leone● Longsword · Elim Pools
1584 38%
LOSS
Zeke Rozell● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Elim Pools
1749 19%
LOSS
Ryan Hetchler● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Elim Pools
1641 30%
DRAW
Colin Knipp● · Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · First Round of Pools
1418 61%
WIN
Michael Hakes● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · First Round of Pools
1612 32%
WIN
Derrick Berry● · Dallas School of Historical Fencing● Longsword · First Round of Pools
905 90%
WIN
Micaiah Elliott● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · First Round of Pools
1638 29%
WIN
Donald McKay● · Vier Blossen Historical Fencing● Longsword · Second Round of Pools
1342 69%
WIN
Raymond Gutierrez● · Lake Charles HEMA Academy● Longsword · Second Round of Pools
WIN
Mathias Hight● · Accademia del Leone● Longsword · Second Round of Pools
1155 79%
LOSS
Kyle Toelle● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Second Round of Pools
1640 27%
Schnegel Fechten 2023●
March 2023 · us
10 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 403 ▼7 · 1,460.7
WIN
Colin Myers● · Arena Weapon Arts● Longsword · Consolation Bracket
1525 43%
LOSS
Kevin Franklin● · Tattershall School of Defense● Longsword · Consolation Bracket
1505 52%
LOSS
Kevin Franklin● · Tattershall School of Defense● Longsword · Eighth-Finals
1505 52%
LOSS
Ryan Hetchler● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1558 45%
WIN
Josh Saito● · Dallas School of Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1311 68%
DRAW
Dawn English● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1054 85%
WIN
Bilal Haroon● · Dallas School of Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1137 73%
WIN
Dylan Cryer● · Dallas School of Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1134 85%
WIN
Sean O'Connor● · Arena Weapon Arts● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1257 72%
LOSS
Timothy Ho● · Accademia del Leone● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1522 44%
Baton Rouge Open 2019●
May 2019 · us
8 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 318 ▲187 · 1,509.3
WIN
Nathaniel Bryant● · Lake Charles HEMA Academy● Longsword · Eighth-Finals
1294 66%
WIN
Dustin Barrett● · Historical Fighting Academy● Longsword · Elimination Bracket
1117 61%
WIN
Bradley Cramer● · University of West Florida Fencing● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1347 50%
WIN
Michelle Forbes● · Nachreisen Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 15-3 Review →
866 85%
WIN
Pavlos Nelson● · Lake Charles HEMA Academy● Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 7-5 · 2 doubles Review →
1384 57%
WIN
Micala Newland● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 13-5 · 1 double Review →
1091 70%
WIN
Eleanor Langston● · Ordo Procinctus● Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 16-0 Review →
LOSS
Jonathan Sload● · Sword to Sword● Longsword · Quarterfinals Score 10-12 Review →
1197 52%
Gesellen Fechten 2019●
October 2019 · us
8 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 359 ▼8 · 1,503.6
LOSS
Derek Nash● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Elims
1842 16%
LOSS
Sam Beardsley● · Black Cat Historical Fencing● Longsword · Elims
1539 48%
DRAW
Brent Woodside● Longsword · Elims
DRAW
Ryan Hetchler● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Elims
1180 76%
DRAW
Jonathan Marshall● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pools
1421 61%
WIN
Justinder Singh● · Burning Sun● Longsword · Pools
1445 58%
LOSS
Garrett Baker● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pools
1610 35%
WIN
Gabriel Lord● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pools
1371 65%
Longpoint 2017●
July 2017 · us
No match-level data
7 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 650 · 1,219.1
WIN
Benjamin Press● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword
LOSS
Brian Ames● · Order of the Marshal● Longsword
1259
WIN
Connor Richardson● · Medieval European Martial Arts Guild● Longsword
LOSS
Brian Ames● · Order of the Marshal● Longsword
1259
DRAW
Jordan Scribner● · Nebraska Swordfighters Guild● Longsword
1115
WIN
Patrick McCaffrey● · L'Arte NYC Historical Fencing● Longsword
1273
WIN
Thomas Royce● · Bucks Historical Longsword● Longsword
Geselle Fechten 2018●
September 2018 · us
No match-level data
13 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 418 ▲280 · 1,434.4
LOSS
Andrew Weems● · Dallas School of Historical Fencing● Longsword · Elims
1606 30%
WIN
Geoff Wilkerson● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Finals
WIN
Caelyn Hamilton● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool 2
WIN
Skye Hilton● · Davenriche European Martial Artes School● Longsword · Pool 2
1028 76%
WIN
Patrick Chagnon● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool 2
LOSS
Danny Martin● · Tattershall School of Defense● Longsword · Pool 2
DRAW
Denver Reese● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool 8
DRAW
Garrett Rivere● · Nachreisen Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool 8
950 75%
LOSS
Derek Nash● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool 8
1667 23%
WIN
Nathaniel Bryant● · Lake Charles HEMA Academy● Longsword · Pool 8
1321 48%
WIN
John Howell● · Wellington School of European Martial Arts● Longsword · Quarter Finals
876 76%
WIN
Tyler Sigman● · Omaha Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword · Semi Finals
1169 57%
WIN
Jeff Sorenson● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Semi Finals
Purpleheart Open 2018●
April 2018 · us
No match-level data
6 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 619 ▲304 · 1,323.8
LOSS
Anthony Buonomo● · Austin Historical Weapons Guild● Longsword · Eighthfinal 7
1249 51%
WIN
Ryan Cater● · Sword to Sword● Longsword · Pool 2
WIN
Rebecca Glass● · L'Arte Della Bellica● Longsword · Pool 2
1139 72%
WIN
Ann Pace● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool 2
LOSS
Dennis Ljungqvist● · Kungshamns Historiska Fäktskola● Longsword · Pool 2
2007 10%
WIN
Christopher Desplas● · Ordo Procinctus● Longsword · Sixteenthfinal 13
1079 59%
Purpleheart Open 2016○
March 2016
No match-level data
5 fights ▾
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.