Checking for newer data...
Newer data is available for this fighter.
Patrick Paglen
Inactive 87m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1146
Peak
1309
March 2018
Record
23W · 31L · 6D
Last
July 2019
Scout analysis
Longsword
23W · 31L · 6D (38%)
Longsword
23W · 31L · 6D (38%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 20% vs older 57%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 20% vs older 57%
Record: 23W · 31L · 6D (38%)
Recent half (30 fights): 20%
Older half (30 fights): 57%
Delta: -37%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 60 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-5.4 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-5.4 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 4
Over/under vs expectation:
-5.4
(12 actual / 17.4 expected, n=39)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
8 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
8 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 9.5
Avg exchanges / match: 2.4
Doubles / match: 0.13
First scorer rate: 63%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 100%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 38%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 38%
Pool stage: 12W · 20L (38%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
162 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
162 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1146
Peak rating: 1309 (March 2018)
Gap to peak: -162
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
22W · 28L · 6D
(39%)
-4.4 vs expectation
(n=35)
avg opponent 1276
+4 fights in 1 thinner division
Messer
3W · 7L (30%)
Messer
3W · 7L (30%)
Form
Rising
Recent 40% vs older 20%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 40% vs older 20%
Record: 3W · 7L (30%)
Recent half (5 fights): 40%
Older half (5 fights): 20%
Delta: +20%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 10 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 2
Avg exchanges / match: 2
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 67%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 100%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 30%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 30%
Pool stage: 3W · 7L (30%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
6 events · us · 2.1 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Reach
6 events · us · 2.1 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 6
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 25
Fights / year: 33.6
Rated weapons: 1
Clubmates
·
New York Historical Fencing Association●
(80)
- Joseph Ceirante●
- Toby Hall●
- Jay Tsulis●
- Tim Kaufman●
- Lauren Hanson●
- Jeff Kim●
- Luis Torres●
- Leanne Gonzalez-Singer●
- Tristan Zukowski●
- Dave Kaufman●
- Harley Jelis●
- Richard Vang●
- Peter Haas●
- Kaitlyn Meade●
- Mike Edelson●
- Andre Troche●
- Deena Sadek●
- Meghan O'Connell●
- Steven Viani●
- Matthew Pon●
- Tyler Sullivan●
- Patrick O'Neil●
- Jordon Daigle●
- Justin Mingo●
- Lissa Harris●
- Fedor Syagin●
- Jeremy Wolf●
- Ashanti Ziths●
- Tiby Kantrowitz●
- William Kirshbom●
- Marcus Johnson●
- Elizabeth Beattie●
- Liliana Klein●
- Katie Kopajtic●
- Patrick McDonald●
- Chris DeMeo●
- Gregory Burke●
- Jose Neves●
- Thomas Moeller●
- Dante Otero●
- Kenny Mai●
- Lacey Erb●
- Sarah Oakhill●
- Katherine Kopajtic●
- Stelian Serban●
- Laura McBride●
- Paul Rappoccio●
- Hildo Biersma●
- Peter Kane●
- Sasha Casucci●
- Siva Sernvongsat●
- Beth Cannon●
- Katherine Hamilton●
- Khalil Huey●
- Leonid Timashev●
- Samuel Dickson●
- Daniel Barreto●
- Jared Fischer●
- John Smith●
- Nicolas Engst Matthews●
- Jenny Wise●
- Sara Renaud●
- Seong Min Kim●
- Gus Macheras●
- Maximilian Striepe●
- Carman Spadaro●
- Evan Sink●
- Samuel Yaggy●
- Timothy Stys●
- Brandon Hinson●
- Josh Wickman●
- Gio Rinaldi-Rose●
- Trystan Tabangay●
- Boris Kramar●
- Michael Sikos●
- Carl Aued●
- Heather Freeman●
- Isaiah Samson●
- Dylan Vaughan●
- Ele Desmarais●
Events & fights
(6)
Flower of Battle 2019●
July 2019 · us
8 fights
▾
July 2019 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1182 ▼66 · 1,248.6
LOSS
1453 23%
LOSS
1128 70%
LOSS
1107 43%
WIN
Longpoint 2019●
March 2019 · us
12 fights
▾
March 2019 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1044 ▼76 · 1,268.7
LOSS
1367 39%
Long Island Point 2018●
November 2018 · us
12 fights
▾
November 2018 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 917 ▼60 · 1,291.4
DRAW
LOSS
1235 42%
LOSS
1083 76%
Clash of Claymores 2018●
September 2018 · us
10 fights
▾
September 2018 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 822 ▼54 · 1,301.7
Fechtschule New York 2017●
June 2017 · us
16 fights
▾
June 2017 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 727 · 1,182.6
Rampoint 2018●
March 2018 · us
12 fights
▾
March 2018 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 643 ▲370 · 1,309.2
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.