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Shane Brown
Inactive 85m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1421
Peak
1527
September 2019
Record
44W · 18L · 6D
Last
September 2019
Scout analysis
Longsword
44W · 18L · 6D (65%)
Longsword
44W · 18L · 6D (65%)
Form
Rising
Recent 76% vs older 53%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 76% vs older 53%
Record: 44W · 18L · 6D (65%)
Recent half (34 fights): 76%
Older half (34 fights): 53%
Delta: +23%
Current streak: 10 Wins
Based on 68 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+2.2 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+2.2 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 6
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 7
Over/under vs expectation:
+2.2
(34 actual / 31.8 expected, n=53)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 74%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 74%
Pool stage: 39W · 14L (74%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
106 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
106 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1421
Peak rating: 1527 (September 2019)
Gap to peak: -106
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
17W · 13L · 3D
(52%)
-0.3 vs expectation
(n=22)
avg opponent 1279
Mixed Steel Longsword (Intermediate)
19W · 5L · 3D
(70%)
-0.2 vs expectation
(n=23)
avg opponent 1195
Mixed Steel Longsword (Open)
8W · 0L
(100%)
+2.8 vs expectation
(n=8)
avg opponent 1277
Messer
3W · 2L (60%)
Messer
3W · 2L (60%)
Form
Building
60% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
60% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 3W · 2L (60%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 5 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 60%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 60%
Pool stage: 3W · 2L (60%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
0W · 4L (0%)
Mixed Weapon
0W · 4L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 0W · 4L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 4 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 4L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
7 events · us · 1.8 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Reach
7 events · us · 1.8 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 7
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 21
Fights / year: 44
Rated weapons: 1
Clubmates
·
New Jersey Historical Fencing Association●
(12)
Events & fights
(7)
Iron Gate Exhibition (IGX) 2019●
September 2019 · us
12 fights
▾
September 2019 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 295 ▲113 · 1,527.4
Flower of Battle 2019●
July 2019 · us
21 fights
▾
July 2019 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 401 ▲54 · 1,476.1
WIN
Patrick Paglen●
·
New York Historical Fencing Association●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 3-0
Review →
1263 77%
DRAW
1128 89%
WIN
1128 89%
LOSS
Jeff Kim●
·
New York Historical Fencing Association●
Messer
· Pool Set 1
Score 0-1 · 2 doubles
Review →
Clash of Claymores 2019●
April 2019 · us
11 fights
▾
April 2019 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 430 ▲187 · 1,456.8
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 472 ▲713 · 1,420.6
Long Island Point 2018●
November 2018 · us
11 fights
▾
November 2018 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 561 ▼89 · 1,393.8
WIN
1236 76%
LOSS
1360 42%
LOSS
1699 24%
DRAW
Jeffrey Baravarian●
·
Long Island Historical Fencing Society●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 0-0
Review →
1139 63%
WIN
1317 65%
WIN
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1080 ▼17 · 1,205.2
7 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 853 · 1,200.8
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.