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Jacob Carlson
Inactive 51m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1027
Peak
1100
October 2021
Record
4W · 13L · 1D
Last
June 2022
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
941
Peak
971
October 2021
Record
3W · 11L
Last
October 2021
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
841
Peak
875
October 2021
Record
1W · 6L · 1D
Last
October 2021
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
964
Peak
1001
June 2021
Record
2W · 6L
Last
June 2021
Scout analysis
Longsword
4W · 13L · 1D (22%)
Longsword
4W · 13L · 1D (22%)
Form
Steady
Recent 22% vs older 22%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 22% vs older 22%
Record: 4W · 13L · 1D (22%)
Recent half (9 fights): 22%
Older half (9 fights): 22%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 18 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.8 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+0.8 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 3
Over/under vs expectation:
+0.8
(4 actual / 3.2 expected, n=10)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 24%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 24%
Pool stage: 4W · 13L (24%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
72 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
72 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1027
Peak rating: 1100 (October 2021)
Gap to peak: -72
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+18 fights in 4 thinner divisions
Rapier
3W · 11L · 1D (20%)
Rapier
3W · 11L · 1D (20%)
Form
Rising
Recent 29% vs older 14%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 29% vs older 14%
Record: 3W · 11L · 1D (20%)
Recent half (7 fights): 29%
Older half (7 fights): 14%
Delta: +15%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 15 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
4 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
4 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 4
Avg exchanges / match: 5
Doubles / match: 1.25
First scorer rate: 75%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 21%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 21%
Pool stage: 3W · 11L (21%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
29 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
29 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 941
Peak rating: 971 (October 2021)
Gap to peak: -29
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Rapier And Any Sidearm
1W · 6L · 1D
(13%)
+7 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Mixed Weapon
3W · 7L · 1D (27%)
Mixed Weapon
3W · 7L · 1D (27%)
Form
Steady
Recent 20% vs older 20%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 20% vs older 20%
Record: 3W · 7L · 1D (27%)
Recent half (5 fights): 20%
Older half (5 fights): 20%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 11 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 2W · 4L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Any One-Handed Weapon
2W · 5L · 1D
(25%)
+3 fights in 1 thinner division
Dagger
0W · 8L · 1D (0%)
Dagger
0W · 8L · 1D (0%)
Form
Steady
Recent 0% vs older 0%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 0% vs older 0%
Record: 0W · 8L · 1D (0%)
Recent half (4 fights): 0%
Older half (4 fights): 0%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 8 Losses
Based on 9 recorded dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 7L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Smallsword
2W · 7L (22%)
Smallsword
2W · 7L (22%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 0%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 0%
Record: 2W · 7L (22%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 0%
Delta: +50%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 9 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 22%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 22%
Pool stage: 2W · 7L (22%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Singlestick
2W · 6L (25%)
Singlestick
2W · 6L (25%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 0%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 0%
Record: 2W · 6L (25%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 0%
Delta: +50%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 8 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 29%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 29%
Pool stage: 2W · 5L (29%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
37 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
37 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 964
Peak rating: 1001 (June 2021)
Gap to peak: -37
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sword & Buckler
1W · 6L · 1D (13%)
Sword & Buckler
1W · 6L · 1D (13%)
Form
Rising
Recent 25% vs older 0%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 25% vs older 0%
Record: 1W · 6L · 1D (13%)
Recent half (4 fights): 25%
Older half (4 fights): 0%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 8 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 14%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 14%
Pool stage: 1W · 6L (14%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
34 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
34 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 841
Peak rating: 875 (October 2021)
Gap to peak: -34
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Messer
0W · 4L (0%)
Messer
0W · 4L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 0W · 4L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 4 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 4L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
5 events · us · 3.9 yrs active
4 rated weapons
▾
Reach
5 events · us · 3.9 yrs active
4 rated weapons
Tournaments: 5
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 47
Fights / year: 20.9
Rated weapons: 4
Clubmates
·
Tattershall School of Defense●
(41)
- Kevin Franklin●
- Michael Schachtner●
- Ryan Shapiro●
- Cade Flowers●
- Eric Nunley●
- David Biggs●
- Austin Smithey●
- Drew Hutchinson●
- Isaac Bavido●
- Rex Ashcraft●
- Caleb Hallgren●
- Ian McLean●
- Emmanuel Lagumbay●
- Jeff Jacobson●
- Julian Williams●
- Alex Nishimoto●
- Jon Eppler●
- Preston Selby●
- Jack Morones●
- Todd Giboney●
- Wendy Marques●
- Milan Ardalan●
- Carl Peterson●
- Ronan Relosa●
- Brennan McCampbell●
- Danny Martin●
- Gary Chelak●
- Keith Smiley●
- Michael McGhee●
- Jennifer Corrigan●
- Richard Aldrich●
- Jessica Williamson●
- Joshua Moore●
- Mitch Hart●
- Vicktor Hung●
- Ayhana Clark●
- Christopher Petermann●
- Emil Grecian●
- Patrick Murray●
- Russell Duntugan●
- Forever Peru●
Events & fights
(5)
Donnybrook 2022●
June 2022 · us
12 fights
▾
June 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1198 ▼168 · 1,068.2
Gesellen Fechten 2021●
October 2021 · us
25 fights
▾
October 2021 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1117 ▲473 · 1,100.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 340 · 971.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 421 ▲41 · 875.7
LOSS
Michael Konrad●
·
Ironwood Historic Swordsmanship●
Rapier
· Pool Set 1
Score 1-3 · 1 double
Review →
1456
LOSS
WIN
Alexander Xi●
·
Dallas School of Historical Fencing●
Rapier
· Pool Set 1
Score 2-1 · 2 doubles
Review →
960
DRAW
WIN
Michael Worthy●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Sword & Buckler
· Pool Set 1
Score 3-1
Review →
LOSS
967 37%
LOSS
Bryce Lowman●
·
Heartland HEMA Historical Fencing Club●
Sword & Buckler
· Pool Set 1
Score 0-4 · 1 double
Review →
Donnybrook 2021●
June 2021 · us
20 fights
▾
June 2021 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1806 ▲574 · 963.9
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 112 ▲32 · 1,001.9
LOSS
Michael Stack●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 5-10 · 2 doubles
Review →
1208 28%
WIN
887 44%
LOSS
Daniel Rauens●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 3-11
Review →
1445 23%
LOSS
Daniel Rauens●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Singlestick
· Eighth-Finals
Score 3-11
Review →
1417 30%
WIN
WIN
815 56%
LOSS
LOSS
Jay Johnson●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Smallsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 0-11
Review →
Gesellen Fechten 2019●
October 2019 · us
15 fights
▾
October 2019 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3698 · 706.2
LOSS
LOSS
Combat Con 2018●
August 2018 · us
10 fights
▾
August 2018 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 645 · 767.2
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 327 · 840.6
LOSS
1518
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.