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Matthew Keller
Inactive 48m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1219
Peak
1324
November 2019
Record
15W · 19L · 2D
Last
September 2022
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1163
Peak
1193
September 2022
Record
3W · 3L
Last
September 2022
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1088
Peak
1138
March 2020
Record
4W · 5L · 1D
Last
March 2020
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1099
Peak
1154
August 2019
Record
4W · 5L · 1D
Last
August 2019
Scout analysis
Longsword
15W · 19L · 2D (42%)
Longsword
15W · 19L · 2D (42%)
Form
Steady
Recent 39% vs older 44%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 39% vs older 44%
Record: 15W · 19L · 2D (42%)
Recent half (18 fights): 39%
Older half (18 fights): 44%
Delta: -5%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 36 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.3
(8 actual / 9.3 expected, n=22)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 45% · Elim 67%
▾
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 45% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 10W · 12L (45%)
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
104 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
104 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1219
Peak rating: 1324 (November 2019)
Gap to peak: -104
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
13W · 18L · 2D
(39%)
-1.4 vs expectation
(n=20)
avg opponent 1294
+3 fights in 1 thinner division
Rapier
4W · 5L · 1D (40%)
Rapier
4W · 5L · 1D (40%)
Form
Steady
Recent 40% vs older 40%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 40% vs older 40%
Record: 4W · 5L · 1D (40%)
Recent half (5 fights): 40%
Older half (5 fights): 40%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 10 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 43%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 43%
Pool stage: 3W · 4L (43%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
55 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
55 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1099
Peak rating: 1154 (August 2019)
Gap to peak: -55
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier & Dagger
3W · 4L (43%)
Rapier & Dagger
3W · 4L (43%)
Form
Building
43% win rate · 7 fights
▾
Form
Building
43% win rate · 7 fights
Record: 3W · 4L (43%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 7 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
Pool stage: 2W · 3L (40%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sabre
3W · 3L (50%)
Sabre
3W · 3L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 3W · 3L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 6 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 60%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 60%
Pool stage: 3W · 2L (60%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
29 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
29 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1163
Peak rating: 1193 (September 2022)
Gap to peak: -29
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
6 events · us · 5.9 yrs active
3 rated weapons
▾
Reach
6 events · us · 5.9 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 6
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 71
Fights / year: 10
Rated weapons: 3
Clubmates
·
Columbus Saber Academy●
(17)
Events & fights
(6)
Crossroads 2022●
September 2022 · us
14 fights
▾
September 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 777 ▼51 · 1,269.2
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 287 · 1,193.3
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 805 ▼46 · 1,284.0
7 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 408 · 1,138.0
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 971 ▲908 · 1,324.1
Steel City Open 2019●
August 2019 · us
14 fights
▾
August 2019 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1796 ▲598 · 1,126.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 404 · 1,154.2
DRAW
1396 32%
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 771 · 1,017.1
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.