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Jacob Kelly

Pennsylvania Klopffechters● · United States
Inactive 86m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1236
Peak
1383 January 2018
Record
44W · 49L · 4D
Last
August 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
901
Peak
963 July 2017
Record
0W · 0L
Last
July 2017

Scout analysis

Longsword

42W · 49L · 4D (44%)
Form
Steady
Recent 45% vs older 43%
▾
Record: 42W · 49L · 4D (44%)
Recent half (47 fights): 45%
Older half (47 fights): 43%
Delta: +2%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 95 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-4.1 vs expectation
▾
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 8
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation: -4.1 (25 actual / 29.1 expected, n=66)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
5 exchange-coded matches
▾
Exchanges per point: 3
Avg exchanges / match: 1.8
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 60%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 100%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 43% · Elim 33%
▾
Pool stage: 9W · 12L (43%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
146 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1236
Peak rating: 1383 (January 2018)
Gap to peak: -146
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier & Dagger

1W · 5L · 1D (14%)
Form
Building
14% win rate · 7 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 5L · 1D (14%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 5 Losses
Based on 7 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
11 events · us · 3.6 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Tournaments: 11
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 43
Fights / year: 28.5
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Pennsylvania Klopffechters● (6)

Events & fights (11)

Broken Point 2017●
March 2017 · us
No match-level data
8 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 348 ▼3 · 1,317.2
LOSS
Scott Barb● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Longsword
1180 52%
DRAW
Nicholas Murro● · Medieval European Martial Arts Guild● Longsword
807 74%
WIN
Sherrie Dion● · Tri-State Historical Fencing Club● Longsword
DRAW
Joseph Yeager● · Metropolitan Historical Fencing Academy● Longsword
1129 75%
DRAW
Jay Tsulis● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
1386 41%
DRAW
Lauren Hanson● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
1065 77%
WIN
Scott Richardson● · Black Wolf Historic Martial Arts● Longsword
WIN
Tyler Brickerhoff● · Tri-State Historical Fencing Club● Longsword
Fechtschule New York 2016●
June 2016 · us
No match-level data
20 fights ▾
LOSS
Stephen Cheney● · Bucks Historical Longsword● Longsword
1301 25%
LOSS
Fedor Syagin● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
LOSS
Luis Torres● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
1088 38%
LOSS
Kiana Shurkin● · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword
1259 30%
WIN
Jamie Kikilidis● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Longsword
1168 29%
LOSS
Kristian Ruokonen● · EHMS● Longsword
1726 12%
WIN
Laura McBride● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
LOSS
Patrick O'Neil● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
1379 24%
LOSS
Jay Tsulis● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
1087 34%
LOSS
Christian O'Connell● · Tri-State Historical Fencing Club● Longsword
LOSS
Mike Edelson● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
1335 26%
WIN
Deena Sadek● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
1087 34%
LOSS
Marcus Johnson● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
742 50%
LOSS
Alexander Kotarakos● Longsword
LOSS
Paul Rappoccio● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
WIN
John Smith● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
WIN
Peter Haas● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
WIN
Joseph Yeager● · Metropolitan Historical Fencing Academy● Longsword
1147 36%
WIN
Joseph Michel● · Tri-State Historical Fencing Club● Longsword
854 44%
LOSS
Jamie Kikilidis● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Longsword
1168 29%
Wrath Point 2016●
October 2016 · us
No match-level data
4 fights ▾
WIN
Joseph Conley● · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword
WIN
Jamie Van Dyke● · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword
861 57%
WIN
Joseph Vandevander● · Fenris Kunst Des Fechtens● Longsword
WIN
Piotr Przanowski● · Charlottesville HEMA● Longsword
1519 19%
Broken Point 2016●
February 2016 · us
No match-level data
4 fights ▾
LOSS
Jim Brooks● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Longsword
1080
LOSS
Charles Lin● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword
1114
LOSS
Dayna Rowden● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword
LOSS
Simai Liu● · Steel City Historical Fencing● Longsword
Steel City Open 2019●
August 2019 · us
10 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 843 ▼25 · 1,338.5
LOSS
Nick Bulan● · Steel City Historical Fencing● Longsword · Elimination Bracket Score 0-3 Review →
1347 50%
LOSS
Joseph Hochadel● · Gem City Duelists Society● Longsword · Pools
1355 40%
WIN
Matthew Keller● · Columbus Saber Academy● Longsword · Pools Score 3-0 Review →
994 63%
LOSS
Wesley Halstead● · Steel City Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pools Score 1-2 Review →
1396 41%
WIN
Jason Thompson● · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword · Pools Score 3-0 Review →
LOSS
Christopher Shelton● · Hilt and Helm Pittsburgh Fencing Club● Longsword · Pools
1532 26%
WIN
Joseph Mooney● · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword · Pools
LOSS
Sean Martin● · Corsair Fencing Club● Longsword · Pools
1239 49%
WIN
Cody Green● · Steel City Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pools
1056 55%
LOSS
Pyrion Astorii● · Triangle Sword Guild● Longsword · Pools
Longpoint 2017●
July 2017 · us
No match-level data
6 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 342 ▼16 · 1,370.0
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 289 ▲31 · 963.1
LOSS
Christoffer Warelius● · EHMS● Longsword
1006 78%
LOSS
Joseph Ceirante● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
1397 46%
WIN
Jeremy Wolf● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
1323 49%
LOSS
Francesco Lodà● · Accademia Romana d'Armi● Rapier & Dagger
1659 20%
DRAW
Nathan Wallace● · Columbus United Fencing Club● Rapier & Dagger
1228 34%
LOSS
Piotr Przanowski● · Charlottesville HEMA● Rapier & Dagger
1191 37%
Steel City Open 2018●
October 2018 · us
8 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 656 ▼56 · 1,360.4
LOSS
Thomas Kesler● · Gem City Duelists Society● Longsword · Pools Score 0-1 Review →
1325 38%
LOSS
Steven Thomas● · Steel City Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pools Score 0-3 Review →
1275 48%
LOSS
Phillip Burgstahler● · Richmond Kunst Des Fechtens● Longsword · Pools Score 0-3 Review →
1529 26%
LOSS
William Joseph● · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword · Pools Score 0-0 Review →
WIN
Christopher Smoot● · Fenris Kunst Des Fechtens● Longsword · Pools
1480 32%
WIN
C. Burns● · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword · Pools
1098 66%
LOSS
Jay Tsulis● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword · Pools
1569 24%
LOSS
Joseph Pugnetti● · Steel City Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pools
1520 28%
Fechtschule New York 2017●
June 2017 · us
22 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 326 ▲31 · 1,381.4
LOSS
Jake Norwood● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword Score 0-1 Review →
1778 7%
WIN
Jose Neves● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword Score 1-0 Review →
LOSS
Rebecca Glass● · L'Arte Della Bellica● Longsword Score 0-1 Review →
953 90%
LOSS
Paul Kartage● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword Score 0-1 Review →
1105 67%
WIN
Robert Smith Logan● · Battlefield KdF● Longsword Score 1-0 Review →
1064 83%
LOSS
Nathan Wallace● · Columbus United Fencing Club● Longsword
1371 45%
WIN
Stelian Serban● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
WIN
Lisa Losito● · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword
1249 63%
LOSS
Charles Murdock● · Grünberg Freifechter● Longsword
1390 45%
LOSS
Jeremy Wolf● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
WIN
Karl Bolle● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword
1494 33%
WIN
Luis Torres● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
1473 33%
WIN
Nicholas Allen● · The HEMA Club at VCU● Longsword
WIN
Thomas Moeller● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
857 83%
WIN
Thomas Schratwieser● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword
1314 50%
LOSS
Mike Edelson● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
1523 26%
LOSS
Aaron Shober● · Sword Carolina● Longsword
1569 21%
LOSS
Tim Kaufman● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword
1701 11%
LOSS
Travis Mayott● · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword
1616 18%
WIN
David Von Bargen● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword
1365 39%
WIN
Jim Brooks● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Longsword
1289 58%
LOSS
Alexander Kotarakos● Longsword
1344 53%
DC HEMA Open 2018●
January 2018 · us
No match-level data
6 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 399 ▲43 · 1,383.6
LOSS
Toby Hall● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword · Pools
1716 8%
WIN
Tyler Jachetta● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword · Pools
1126 70%
WIN
Trent McCartney● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword · Pools
WIN
Jacob Benden● · Old Line Historical Swordsmanship● Longsword · Pools
LOSS
Brian Brunsman● · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword · Round of 16
1517 24%
WIN
Christopher Smoot● · Fenris Kunst Des Fechtens● Longsword · Round of 32
Capitol Clash: Washington DC HEMA Open 2017●
January 2017 · us
No match-level data
8 fights ▾
LOSS
Keith Cotter-Reilly● · Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy● Longsword
1436 37%
WIN
Chuck Gross● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Longsword
WIN
Thomas Schratwieser● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword
1333 45%
LOSS
James Clark● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword
1488 32%
WIN
John Durish● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Rapier & Dagger
LOSS
Daniel Daugherty● · Metropolitan Historical Fencing Academy● Rapier & Dagger
LOSS
Alexander Kotarakos● Rapier & Dagger
LOSS
Robert Gonia● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Rapier & Dagger
936
Broken Point 2017●
April 2017 · us
No match-level data
6 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 348 ▼3 · 1,317.2
WIN
Alex Meloi● · Tri-State Historical Fencing Club● Longsword
1233 60%
WIN
Nathan Annis● · Royal Arts Fencing Academy● Longsword
671 86%
WIN
Jim Brooks● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Longsword
1310 52%
WIN
Simai Liu● · Steel City Historical Fencing● Longsword
1323 48%
LOSS
Pete May● · Hilt and Helm Pittsburgh Fencing Club● Longsword
1266 55%
LOSS
Wesley Halstead● · Steel City Historical Fencing● Longsword
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.