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Joseph Graham

The Forge: Western Martial Arts● · Canada
Inactive 22m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
871 #6,272
Peak
882 October 2024
Record
1W · 4L
Last
October 2024

Scout analysis

Longsword

1W · 4L (20%)
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 4L (20%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 5 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 20%
▾
Pool stage: 1W · 4L (20%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Current rating: 871
Peak rating: 882 (October 2024)
Gap to peak: -10
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Messer

1W · 3L · 1D (20%)
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 3L · 1D (20%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 5 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Mixed Weapon

3W · 2L (60%)
Form
Building
60% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Record: 3W · 2L (60%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Elim data only
Elim 75%
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: 3W · 1L (75%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Backsword

1W · 2L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 2L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 3 recorded backsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · ca · 4 mo active
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (ca)
Months active: 4
Fights / year: 54
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · The Forge: Western Martial Arts● (34)

Events & fights (2)

Nordschlag 2024●
October 2024 · ca
11 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 4329 ▲343 · 882.0
WIN
Ella Schaloske● · The Academy of European Swordsmanship● Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 3-2 Review →
LOSS
Larry Croteau● · Edmonton German Fencing Guild● Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 2-3 Review →
LOSS
Dayne McGuire-Lavallee● · The Academy of European Swordsmanship● Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 2-3 Review →
LOSS
Samuel Fedoruk● · The Academy of European Swordsmanship● Mixed Weapon · Bronze Medal Match
WIN
Codi Ervin● · Edmonton German Fencing Guild● Mixed Weapon · Eighth-Finals
WIN
John Ming Ngo● · Edmonton German Fencing Guild● Mixed Weapon · Elimination Bracket
WIN
Larry Croteau● · Edmonton German Fencing Guild● Mixed Weapon · Quarterfinals Score 2-3 Review →
LOSS
Tavis McKee● · The Forge: Western Martial Arts● Mixed Weapon · Semifinals
LOSS
Eric Edmonds● · The Academy of European Swordsmanship● Backsword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Matthew Thompson● · Bighorn Historical Combat● Backsword · Pool Set 1
WIN
Eric Stenner● · The Academy of European Swordsmanship● Backsword · Pool Set 1
Anvil 2024●
June 2024 · ca
No match-level data
7 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 4447 · 776.0
LOSS
Aaron Babb● · Edmonton German Fencing Guild● Longsword · Pool B
1105
LOSS
Alex Williamson● · Bighorn Historical Combat● Longsword · Pool B
1624
WIN
Aislinn MacCulloch● · The Forge: Western Martial Arts● Messer · Pool C
DRAW
Matt Cardall● · Calgary Fellowship of the Sword● Messer · Pool C
LOSS
Jason Baldwin● · Edmonton German Fencing Guild● Messer · Pool C
LOSS
Aaron Babb● · Edmonton German Fencing Guild● Messer · Pool C
LOSS
Lexa Giguère● · Bighorn Historical Combat● Messer · Pool C
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.