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Matthew Lawrence
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Current
1428
#340
Peak
1435
March 2026
Record
17W · 9L
Last
March 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1346
#781
Peak
1358
October 2025
Record
11W · 8L · 1D
Last
October 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Current
1230
#565
Peak
1241
October 2025
Record
17W · 9L
Last
October 2025
Scout analysis
Smallsword
24W · 29L · 17D (34%)
Smallsword
24W · 29L · 17D (34%)
Form
Rising
Recent 40% vs older 29%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 40% vs older 29%
Record: 24W · 29L · 17D (34%)
Recent half (35 fights): 40%
Older half (35 fights): 29%
Delta: +11%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 70 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
11 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
11 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.07
Avg exchanges / match: 1.4
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 55%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 100%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 44%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 44%
Pool stage: 21W · 27L (44%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier
15W · 9L (63%)
Rapier
15W · 9L (63%)
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 50%
Record: 15W · 9L (63%)
Recent half (12 fights): 75%
Older half (12 fights): 50%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 24 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
+0.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
+0.3 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
+0.3
(7 actual / 6.7 expected, n=13)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
10 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
10 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.12
Avg exchanges / match: 6.4
Doubles / match: 0.8
First scorer rate: 30%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 25%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 12W · 6L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1428
Peak rating: 1435 (March 2026)
Gap to peak: -6
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Single Rapier
8W · 5L
(62%)
+0.9 vs expectation
(n=6)
avg opponent 1219
+11 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Sabre
11W · 8L · 1D (55%)
Sabre
11W · 8L · 1D (55%)
Form
Rising
Recent 60% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 60% vs older 50%
Record: 11W · 8L · 1D (55%)
Recent half (10 fights): 60%
Older half (10 fights): 50%
Delta: +10%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 20 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.8 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.8 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.8
(4 actual / 4.8 expected, n=11)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
9 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
9 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1
Avg exchanges / match: 6.7
Doubles / match: 0.11
First scorer rate: 44%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 54% · Elim 67%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 54% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 7W · 6L (54%)
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1346
Peak rating: 1358 (October 2025)
Gap to peak: -11
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Men's Steel Sabre
6W · 4L · 1D
(55%)
-0.1 vs expectation
(n=9)
avg opponent 1329
+9 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Rapier & Dagger
7W · 11L · 1D (37%)
Rapier & Dagger
7W · 11L · 1D (37%)
Form
Rising
Recent 44% vs older 33%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 44% vs older 33%
Record: 7W · 11L · 1D (37%)
Recent half (9 fights): 44%
Older half (9 fights): 33%
Delta: +11%
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 19 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-1.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-1.5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.5
(2 actual / 3.5 expected, n=10)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1
Avg exchanges / match: 5.3
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 100%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 41%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 41%
Pool stage: 7W · 10L (41%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Rapier & Dagger
6W · 9L · 1D
(38%)
-1.5 vs expectation
(n=10)
avg opponent 1353
+3 fights in 1 thinner division
Mixed Weapon
2W · 1L (67%)
Mixed Weapon
2W · 1L (67%)
Form
Building
67% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Form
Building
67% win rate · 3 fights
Record: 2W · 1L (67%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 3 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 2W · 1L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
8 events · us · 3.1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
8 events · us · 3.1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 8
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 37
Fights / year: 44.1
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
SoCal Swords●
(79)
- Clare Lahey●
- Jonathan Clyde Ying●
- Myles Cupp●
- Eric Hardeman●
- Rachel Van Dyke●
- Timothy Magnuson●
- Joseph Campbell●
- Gary Ledford●
- Lacey Cupp●
- Nolan Duino●
- Christian Killingsworth●
- James Samples●
- Forenz Arabian●
- Kalan Miurrelle●
- Joshua Warner●
- Jackson Wright●
- Dylan McGee●
- Brian Orf●
- RJ McKeehan●
- Christina Heine●
- Nathaniel Walsh●
- AJ Atry●
- CaiPendragon Skigin●
- Danny Voigt●
- EJ Trovada●
- Stephanie Fousek●
- Wesley Ho●
- Alexander Lianides●
- Trevor Amspaugh●
- Jason Ledsinger●
- Adriana Beals●
- Emmett Strozewski●
- Curtis Andrews●
- Brian Frick●
- Johannes Rasinkangas●
- Zach Hoffman●
- Erin Wildman●
- Andy Seaboyer●
- Ben Hosac●
- Charles Martinez●
- Francisco Hitt●
- Declan MacPhail●
- Jakob Stanton●
- Dustin Howe●
- Nicolas Sirimongkol●
- Zixiong Zhao●
- Neko Kelly●
- Hayden Malloch●
- Nathaniel Yu●
- Cody Flemming-Powell●
- Abigail Watson●
- Chloe Ung●
- Marco Martinez●
- Ricky Cristales●
- Andrew Loyola●
- Brandon Smith●
- Derek Hull●
- Justin Wood●
- Taylor Johnson●
- Adriana Astraea●
- Ethan Shanklin●
- Holden Barker●
- Dan Cheung●
- David Liu●
- Dominic Gourley●
- Edgar Flores●
- Evan Arnold●
- Jonathan Mason●
- Bryan Hofman●
- Christopher Glasow●
- Evan Peter●
- Gary Chang●
- Jack Kiesecker●
- Joseph Lin●
- Landon Balagtas●
- Tran Hung●
- Carlos Zamora●
- Sean Dickinson●
- Tyler Nakamura●
Events & fights
(8)
LoCal Swordfight 2026●
March 2026 · us
22 fights
▾
March 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 318 ▲18 · 1,435.4
Fright Fight 2025●
October 2025 · us
21 fights
▾
October 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 594 ▲469 · 1,358.6
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 445 ▲281 · 1,241.2
LOSS
1275 37%
DRAW
Randy Reyes●
·
Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship●
Rapier & Dagger
· Pools
Score 4-4
Review →
WIN
Tom Ostrowski●
·
Einhorn Los Angeles Historical Fencing Arts●
Rapier & Dagger
· Pools
Score 10-6
Review →
1468 29%
LOSS
1437 27%
WIN
LOSS
1586 21%
DRAW
1329 47%
WIN
1531 33%
WIN
WIN
1294 45%
Wine Country Sword Crush 2025●
April 2025 · us
7 fights
▾
April 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 253 ▲203 · 1,426.8
LoCal Swordfight 2025●
March 2025 · us
25 fights
▾
March 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 456 ▲554 · 1,297.9
AFO Tournament of Defense 2024●
November 2024 · us
8 fights
▾
November 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 763 ▼79 · 1,211.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 928 ▲110 · 1,023.5
LOSS
1328 43%
LOSS
1626 28%
Wine Country Sword Crush 2024●
April 2024 · us
6 fights
▾
April 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 451 ▲90 · 1,082.3
SoCal Swordfight 2024●
February 2024 · us
32 fights
▾
February 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 503 · 1,238.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 541 · 961.3
LOSS
SoCal Swordfight 2023●
February 2023 · us
15 fights
▾
February 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 472 · 949.9
DOUBLE
DOUBLE
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.