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Stephen Patrias
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Current
1518
#143
Peak
1528
October 2025
Record
14W · 18L
Last
October 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Current
1283
#681
Peak
1319
October 2024
Record
14W · 18L
Last
October 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1109
Peak
1130
May 2023
Record
4W · 1L
Last
May 2023
Scout analysis
Rapier
14W · 18L (44%)
Rapier
14W · 18L (44%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 38%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 38%
Record: 14W · 18L (44%)
Recent half (16 fights): 50%
Older half (16 fights): 38%
Delta: +12%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 32 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.6 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+0.6 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 3
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
+0.6
(4 actual / 3.4 expected, n=9)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 44%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 44%
Pool stage: 14W · 18L (44%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1518
Peak rating: 1528 (October 2025)
Gap to peak: -9
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Single Rapier
10W · 16L
(38%)
-0.4 vs expectation
(n=6)
avg opponent 1357
+6 fights in 1 thinner division
Rapier & Dagger
16W · 6L (73%)
Rapier & Dagger
16W · 6L (73%)
Form
Rising
Recent 91% vs older 55%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 91% vs older 55%
Record: 16W · 6L (73%)
Recent half (11 fights): 91%
Older half (11 fights): 55%
Delta: +36%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 22 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
+1.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
+1.5 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
+1.5
(5 actual / 3.5 expected, n=6)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 71% · Elim 100%
▾
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 71% · Elim 100%
Pool stage: 12W · 5L (71%)
Elimination: 3W · 0L (100%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Longsword
4W · 1L (80%)
Longsword
4W · 1L (80%)
Form
Building
80% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
80% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 4W · 1L (80%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Wins
Based on 5 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
Pool stage: 4W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
21 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
21 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1109
Peak rating: 1130 (May 2023)
Gap to peak: -21
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Messer
4W · 1L (80%)
Messer
4W · 1L (80%)
Form
Building
80% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
80% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 4W · 1L (80%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
Pool stage: 4W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
4 events · us · 2.4 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
4 events · us · 2.4 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 29
Fights / year: 26.5
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Lansing Longsword Guild●
(13)
Events & fights
(4)
18 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 104 ▲211 · 1,528.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 569 ▼56 · 1,294.3
WIN
Reid Roubidoux●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Rapier & Dagger
· Rapier And Dagger 2025 Finals
WIN
1229 58%
WIN
Ben Welch●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Rapier & Dagger
· Rapier And Dagger 2025 Finals
WIN
1229 58%
WIN
Reid Roubidoux●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Rapier & Dagger
· Rapier And Dagger 2025 pool 2
WIN
Matthew Currey●
·
Tempered Mettle Historical Fencing●
Rapier & Dagger
· Rapier And Dagger 2025 pool 2
1101 69%
WIN
Daniel Rauens●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Rapier & Dagger
· Rapier And Dagger 2025 pool 2
1344 43%
LOSS
1330 50%
26 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 239 · 1,331.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 362 ▲436 · 1,319.6
LOSS
1348
LOSS
1707
WIN
Matthew Currey●
·
Tempered Mettle Historical Fencing●
Rapier & Dagger
· Day 2 Rapier and Dagger '24 pool 1
1027
WIN
1122
WIN
1269 36%
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 586 · 1,057.6
AG Open 2023●
May 2023 · us
10 fights
▾
May 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1714 · 1,130.7
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.