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Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1148
Peak
1243 June 2018
Record
13W · 18L
Last
June 2018
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
1016
Peak
1090 September 2016
Record
3W · 5L
Last
September 2016
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
899
Peak
971 September 2016
Record
2W · 6L
Last
September 2016

Scout analysis

Longsword

13W · 18L (42%)
Form
Rising
Recent 67% vs older 13%
Record: 13W · 18L (42%)
Recent half (15 fights): 67%
Older half (15 fights): 13%
Delta: +54%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 31 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation: +0.3 (5 actual / 4.7 expected, n=13)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 2W · 2L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
94 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1148
Peak rating: 1243 (June 2018)
Gap to peak: -94
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Singlestick

3W · 5L (38%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 25% vs older 50%
Record: 3W · 5L (38%)
Recent half (4 fights): 25%
Older half (4 fights): 50%
Delta: -25%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 8 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
73 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1016
Peak rating: 1090 (September 2016)
Gap to peak: -73
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier

2W · 6L (25%)
Form
Steady
Recent 25% vs older 25%
Record: 2W · 6L (25%)
Recent half (4 fights): 25%
Older half (4 fights): 25%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 8 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
72 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 899
Peak rating: 971 (September 2016)
Gap to peak: -72
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Mixed Weapon

2W · 2L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 2W · 2L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 4 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
4 events · us · 1.8 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 21
Fights / year: 29.1
Rated weapons: 3

Clubmates · Lansing Longsword Guild (13)

Events & fights (4)

Krump Pow 2016
September 2016 · us
No match-level data
26 fights
LOSS
Sam Street Singlestick
1243
Boar's Tooth 2018
June 2018 · us
No match-level data
4 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 954 ▼11 · 1,243.4
LOSS
1019 55%
WIN
Derek Wise · Boston Armizare Longsword · Pool 1
WIN
LOSS
Jake Burns · Boston Armizare Longsword · Pool 1
1288 44%
Krump Pow 2017
September 2017 · us
No match-level data
10 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 655 ▲563 · 1,242.8
Midwinter Armizare Open 2017
January 2017 · us
No match-level data
11 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 835 ▲168 · 1,026.0
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.