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Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1521
Peak
1628 October 2018
Record
51W · 17L
Last
October 2018
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
1563
Peak
1647 May 2017
Record
15W · 2L
Last
May 2017
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1308
Peak
1378 September 2016
Record
6W · 2L
Last
September 2016

Scout analysis

Longsword

51W · 17L (75%)
Form
Steady
Recent 76% vs older 74%
Record: 51W · 17L (75%)
Recent half (34 fights): 76%
Older half (34 fights): 74%
Delta: +2%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 68 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+2 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 5
Over/under vs expectation: +2 (26 actual / 24 expected, n=39)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 90%
Pool stage: 9W · 1L (90%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
107 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1521
Peak rating: 1628 (October 2018)
Gap to peak: -107
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Singlestick

15W · 2L (88%)
Form
Steady
Recent 88% vs older 88%
Record: 15W · 2L (88%)
Recent half (8 fights): 88%
Older half (8 fights): 88%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 4 Wins
Based on 17 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+1.5 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: +1.5 (6 actual / 4.5 expected, n=7)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
84 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1563
Peak rating: 1647 (May 2017)
Gap to peak: -84
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Mixed Weapon

7W · 2L (78%)
Form
Steady
Recent 75% vs older 75%
Record: 7W · 2L (78%)
Recent half (4 fights): 75%
Older half (4 fights): 75%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 9 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier

6W · 2L (75%)
Form
Rising
Recent 100% vs older 50%
Record: 6W · 2L (75%)
Recent half (4 fights): 100%
Older half (4 fights): 50%
Delta: +50%
Current streak: 5 Wins
Based on 8 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
70 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1308
Peak rating: 1378 (September 2016)
Gap to peak: -70
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
9 events · us · 4.3 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 9
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 52
Fights / year: 23.5
Rated weapons: 3

Clubmates · Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association (76)

Events & fights (9)

Longpoint 2015
July 2015 · us
No match-level data
7 fights
Longpoint South 2016
October 2016 · us
No match-level data
5 fights
Krump Pow 2016
September 2016 · us
No match-level data
26 fights
WIN
WIN
WIN
WIN
Eric Vogt · Bent Blades Singlestick
LOSS
Longpoint 2016
July 2016 · us
No match-level data
5 fights
Longpoint 2014
July 2014 · us
No match-level data
5 fights
Krump Pow 2018
October 2018 · us
No match-level data
11 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 101 ▲38 · 1,628.4
WIN
Cameron Metcalf · Centerline Sword School Longsword · Day 1 Pool 5
1424 67%
WIN
WIN
Amber Damare · Nachreisen Historical Fencing Longsword · Day 1 Pool 5
763 91%
WIN
Charles Murdock · Grünberg Freifechter Longsword · Day 1 Pool 5
1392 80%
WIN
Scott Thomas · Center for Blade Arts Longsword · Day 1 Pool 5
1538 58%
WIN
Flynn Castellanos · Lake Forest Sword Academy Longsword · Day 2 Pool 6
1302 72%
WIN
Steve Mattsen · Center for Blade Arts Longsword · Day 2 Pool 6
1573 53%
WIN
1325 77%
LOSS
1076 77%
WIN
Josh Furrate · Nachreisen Historical Fencing Longsword · Day 2 Pool 6
1516 61%
LOSS
1492 64%
Icebreaker Open 2017
May 2017 · us
No match-level data
18 fights
Krump Pow 2017
September 2017 · us
No match-level data
8 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 71 ▲30 · 1,602.4
WIN
1393 58%
WIN
1019 86%
LOSS
1669 33%
WIN
1501 49%
Midwinter Armizare Open 2017
January 2017 · us
No match-level data
17 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 75 ▼1 · 1,536.0
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.