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Josias Arcadia
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1571
#400
Peak
1607
April 2024
Record
114W · 56L · 3D
Last
February 2026
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
1384
Peak
1424
August 2023
Record
0W · 0L
Last
August 2023
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1206
Peak
1276
September 2016
Record
5W · 3L
Last
September 2016
Scout analysis
Longsword
114W · 56L · 3D (66%)
Longsword
114W · 56L · 3D (66%)
Form
Steady
Recent 63% vs older 70%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 63% vs older 70%
Record: 114W · 56L · 3D (66%)
Recent half (86 fights): 63%
Older half (86 fights): 70%
Delta: -7%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 173 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-5.6 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-5.6 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 18
Over/under vs expectation:
-5.6
(78 actual / 83.6 expected, n=131)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
6 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
6 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.07
Avg exchanges / match: 5.3
Doubles / match: 0.33
First scorer rate: 100%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 25%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 69% · Elim 58%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 69% · Elim 58%
Pool stage: 72W · 32L (69%)
Elimination: 11W · 8L (58%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
35 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
35 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1571
Peak rating: 1607 (April 2024)
Gap to peak: -35
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
85W · 37L · 1D
(69%)
-4.1 vs expectation
(n=91)
avg opponent 1307
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier A)
16W · 12L · 2D
(53%)
+0.1 vs expectation
(n=30)
avg opponent 1548
Mixed Steel Longsword (Pools)
6W · 2L
(75%)
-0.2 vs expectation
(n=6)
avg opponent 1340
+12 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Singlestick
29W · 23L (56%)
Singlestick
29W · 23L (56%)
Form
Rising
Recent 65% vs older 46%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 65% vs older 46%
Record: 29W · 23L (56%)
Recent half (26 fights): 65%
Older half (26 fights): 46%
Delta: +19%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 52 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-1.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-1.5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.5
(10 actual / 11.5 expected, n=26)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 0.87
Avg exchanges / match: 4.3
Doubles / match: 0.33
First scorer rate: 67%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 0%
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 67% · Elim 43%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 67% · Elim 43%
Pool stage: 20W · 10L (67%)
Elimination: 3W · 4L (43%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
17W · 17L · 2D (47%)
Mixed Weapon
17W · 17L · 2D (47%)
Form
Rising
Recent 56% vs older 39%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 56% vs older 39%
Record: 17W · 17L · 2D (47%)
Recent half (18 fights): 56%
Older half (18 fights): 39%
Delta: +17%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 36 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 53% · Elim 25%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 53% · Elim 25%
Pool stage: 16W · 14L (53%)
Elimination: 1W · 3L (25%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Synthetic Any Weapon
7W · 6L
(54%)
Mixed Steel Any One-Handed Weapon
4W · 7L · 1D
(33%)
Mixed Steel Any Weapon
6W · 4L · 1D
(55%)
Rapier
5W · 3L (63%)
Rapier
5W · 3L (63%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 75%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 75%
Record: 5W · 3L (63%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 75%
Delta: -25%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 8 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Messer
1W · 4L (20%)
Messer
1W · 4L (20%)
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 1W · 4L (20%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 5 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
20 events · 2 countries · 10 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
20 events · 2 countries · 10 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 20
Countries fought in: 2 (us, fi)
Months active: 120
Fights / year: 27.4
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Ram's Head Fencing●
(15)
Events & fights
(21)
6 fights
▾
26 fights
▾
Midwinter Armizare Open 2026●
February 2026 · us
5 fights
▾
February 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 366 ▼25 · 1,577.2
Gesellen Fechten 2025●
October 2025 · us
8 fights
▾
October 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 316 ▼8 · 1,598.4
LOSS
Micaiah Elliott●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 1-2 · 2 doubles
Review →
1709 28%
WIN
Michael Hakes●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 3-2
Review →
1520 58%
DRAW
1523 65%
LOSS
Kyle Toelle●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 2-3
Review →
1636 35%
Boar's Tooth 2025●
August 2025 · us
15 fights
▾
August 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 300 ▲108 · 1,598.3
SwordStrong 2025●
May 2025 · us
8 fights
▾
May 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 388 ▼85 · 1,555.6
DRAW
1220 78%
Midwinter Armizare Open 2024●
January 2024 · us
8 fights
▾
January 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 215 ▼16 · 1,580.6
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 187 ▲49 · 1,607.1
Gesellen Fechten 2023●
October 2023 · us
15 fights
▾
October 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 189 ▲12 · 1,593.0
WIN
Alan Beck●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 2-1
Review →
1439 76%
WIN
Dawn English●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 2-1
Review →
1101 94%
WIN
LOSS
1911 11%
WIN
1439 76%
LOSS
Alan Beck●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Semi Final Pools
Score 2-1
Review →
1439 76%
LOSS
1733 27%
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 215 ▼16 · 1,580.6
23 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 207 ▲4 · 1,562.1
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 31 ▲9 · 1,421.1
Donnybrook 2023●
August 2023 · us
18 fights
▾
August 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 197 ▲51 · 1,583.7
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 32 ▼4 · 1,424.2
WIN
1468 66%
LOSS
1327 56%
LOSS
David Steel●
·
Heartland HEMA Historical Fencing Club●
Singlestick
· Pool Set 1
Score 2-6 · 1 double
Review →
1251 53%
WIN
AG Open 2023●
May 2023 · us
11 fights
▾
May 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 224 ▼17 · 1,556.1
20 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 137 ▲24 · 1,542.4
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 22 ▲4 · 1,366.9
Midwinter Armizare Open 2023●
January 2023 · us
5 fights
▾
January 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 187 ▲31 · 1,558.4
13 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 161 ▲17 · 1,515.9
18 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 201 ▲51 · 1,548.5
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 76 ▲50 · 1,327.1
13 fights
▾
31 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 201 ▲14 · 1,520.7
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 118 ▲22 · 1,217.3
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 160 ▼3 · 1,511.5
Icebreaker 2016○
April 2016
No match-level data
7 fights
▾
April 2016
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.