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Tony Williams
Inactive 91m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1096
Peak
1171
April 2019
Record
7W · 10L
Last
April 2019
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
1014
Peak
1088
April 2019
Record
6W · 14L
Last
April 2019
Scout analysis
Singlestick
6W · 14L (30%)
Singlestick
6W · 14L (30%)
Form
Steady
Recent 30% vs older 30%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 30% vs older 30%
Record: 6W · 14L (30%)
Recent half (10 fights): 30%
Older half (10 fights): 30%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 20 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-1.6 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-1.6 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.6
(1 actual / 2.6 expected, n=7)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 3W · 9L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
74 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
74 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1014
Peak rating: 1088 (April 2019)
Gap to peak: -74
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Longsword
7W · 10L (41%)
Longsword
7W · 10L (41%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 38%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 38%
Record: 7W · 10L (41%)
Recent half (8 fights): 50%
Older half (8 fights): 38%
Delta: +12%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 17 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-0.1 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-0.1 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.1
(3 actual / 3.1 expected, n=7)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 46%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 46%
Pool stage: 6W · 7L (46%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
74 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
74 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1096
Peak rating: 1171 (April 2019)
Gap to peak: -74
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
2W · 4L · 1D (29%)
Mixed Weapon
2W · 4L · 1D (29%)
Form
Building
29% win rate · 7 fights
▾
Form
Building
29% win rate · 7 fights
Record: 2W · 4L · 1D (29%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 7 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 2W · 4L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
4 events · us · 2.6 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
4 events · us · 2.6 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 31
Fights / year: 17
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Minneapolis HEMA Study Group●
(1)
Events & fights
(4)
8 fights
▾
11 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1481 ▲272 · 1,171.1
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 219 ▲79 · 1,088.8
4 fights
▾
21 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1322 ▲545 · 1,120.1
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 243 ▼49 · 971.2
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.