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Ryan Carlson
Inactive 53m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1600
Peak
1745
October 2018
Record
38W · 8L
Last
April 2022
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
905
Peak
936
April 2022
Record
2W · 4L
Last
April 2022
Scout analysis
Longsword
38W · 8L (83%)
Longsword
38W · 8L (83%)
Form
Steady
Recent 87% vs older 78%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 87% vs older 78%
Record: 38W · 8L (83%)
Recent half (23 fights): 87%
Older half (23 fights): 78%
Delta: +9%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 46 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+2.8 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+2.8 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
+2.8
(23 actual / 20.2 expected, n=28)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 87% · Elim 60%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 87% · Elim 60%
Pool stage: 20W · 3L (87%)
Elimination: 3W · 2L (60%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
144 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
144 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1600
Peak rating: 1745 (October 2018)
Gap to peak: -144
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
13W · 4L (76%)
Mixed Weapon
13W · 4L (76%)
Form
Rising
Recent 88% vs older 63%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 88% vs older 63%
Record: 13W · 4L (76%)
Recent half (8 fights): 88%
Older half (8 fights): 63%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 17 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 86% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 86% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 12W · 2L (86%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Synthetic Any Weapon
8W · 1L
(89%)
Mixed Steel Any One-Handed Weapon
5W · 3L
(63%)
Singlestick
2W · 4L (33%)
Singlestick
2W · 4L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
33% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 2W · 4L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 6 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 2W · 4L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
31 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
31 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 905
Peak rating: 936 (April 2022)
Gap to peak: -31
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
5 events · us · 5 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
5 events · us · 5 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 5
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 60
Fights / year: 13.8
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Center for Blade Arts●
(88)
- Daniel Evans●
- Matt Olesen●
- Dylan Kostman●
- Steve Mattsen●
- Ryan David●
- Derek Swart●
- Brent Jungclaus●
- Scott Thomas●
- Joel Johnson●
- Dale Utt●
- Brendan Maloney●
- Paul Bates●
- Andrew Dale●
- Autumn Eule-Nashoba●
- Brian Fleming●
- Jarod Harbrecht●
- Sami Showalter●
- Samuel Storck-Post●
- Aaron Lent●
- Leo Dannersmith●
- Timothy Verseput●
- Ed Butler●
- Jeff Burbank●
- Ryan Mahoney●
- Kenny Reed●
- Mike Tschida●
- Nathan Wichman●
- Timothy Roach●
- Allison Jacobsen●
- Cole Baxter●
- Layne Gerrard●
- DJ Murray●
- Cecelia Issaac●
- Jon Reding●
- Kelsey Maher●
- Theo Wilson●
- Rashi McKinney●
- Thomas Tang●
- Colin Lacy●
- Kyle Johnson●
- Eric Hallstrom●
- Jennifer Lindgren●
- Lizzie Nelson●
- Marissa Evans●
- Martin Miller●
- Max Richter●
- Samantha Showalter●
- Joshua Davie●
- Alex Burton●
- Chris Hage●
- Connor Dale●
- Parker Cook●
- Sam Lindberg●
- Steven Voto●
- Alex Gottschalk●
- Avery Gervais●
- Caitlin Iverson●
- Chase Drawz●
- Conner Haugen●
- Grier Belter●
- Kelvin Yang●
- Laura Burbank●
- Lucas Lindgren●
- Matt Grieser●
- Ryan Biggs●
- Teresa Padron●
- Travis Haglund●
- Wilhelm Potgeiter●
- Zach Kayser●
- Alex Greff●
- Christopher Thoms●
- Clarissa Wright●
- David Weber●
- Kaylee Ross●
- Lux Cavanaugh●
- Noah Rothschild●
- Anna Schliep●
- Austin Lowel●
- Emmet Ironstone●
- Greg Nieuwenhuis●
- James Walls●
- Laura Kalsow●
- Michael Borchert●
- Troy Elffeson●
- Xander Jacobsen●
- Zana Dye●
- Mitch Ehlers●
- AJ DeWees●
Events & fights
(5)
12 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 60 ▼21 · 1,652.2
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 74 · 936.7
11 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 37 ▲31 · 1,745.2
8 fights
▾
28 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 51 ▲37 · 1,677.4
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 63 ▲119 · 1,614.8
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.