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Nathan Clough

Minnesota Sword Guild · United States
Inactive 102m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1094
Peak
1207 October 2018
Record
15W · 32L
Last
April 2019
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
1108
Peak
1194 April 2018
Record
8W · 13L
Last
April 2018

Scout analysis

Longsword

14W · 31L (31%)
Form
Steady
Recent 36% vs older 27%
Record: 14W · 31L (31%)
Recent half (22 fights): 36%
Older half (22 fights): 27%
Delta: +9%
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 45 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-3 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: -3 (4 actual / 7 expected, n=18)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 38%
Pool stage: 8W · 13L (38%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
113 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1094
Peak rating: 1207 (October 2018)
Gap to peak: -113
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 14W · 26L (35%) -3 vs expectation (n=18) avg opponent 1280
+5 fights in 1 thinner division

Singlestick

8W · 13L (38%)
Form
Steady
Recent 40% vs older 40%
Record: 8W · 13L (38%)
Recent half (10 fights): 40%
Older half (10 fights): 40%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 21 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-2.4 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: -2.4 (2 actual / 4.4 expected, n=10)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 3W · 3L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
86 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1108
Peak rating: 1194 (April 2018)
Gap to peak: -86
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Mixed Weapon

2W · 4L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 2W · 4L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 6 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 2W · 4L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
6 events · us · 3.8 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 6
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 46
Fights / year: 18.8
Rated weapons: 2

Events & fights (7)

Longpoint 2015
July 2015 · us
No match-level data
3 fights
Krump Pow 2016
September 2016 · us
No match-level data
18 fights
Icebreaker Open 2019
April 2019 · us
No match-level data
6 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1435 ▼96 · 1,185.4
LOSS
1271 37%
LOSS
Peter Altschwager Longsword · Pool F
WIN
862 64%
LOSS
1487 22%
LOSS
Aaron Labertew · House of Blades Longsword · Pool F
988 70%
LOSS
Romana Shemayev · Bent Blades Longsword · Pool F
1385 32%
Krump Pow 2018
October 2018 · us
No match-level data
9 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1187 ▲182 · 1,207.8
WIN
Claire Kopenhafer · Lansing Longsword Guild Longsword · Day 1 Pool 2
LOSS
WIN
Colten Persons · Lansing Longsword Guild Longsword · Day 1 Pool 2
WIN
WIN
Davis Vader · Chicago Swordplay Guild Longsword · Day 1 Pool 2
1147 42%
LOSS
Tyler Dunham · Ars Gladii Longsword · Day 2 Pool 4
LOSS
1202 42%
LOSS
1695 11%
LOSS
Jim Brooks · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts Longsword · Day 2 Pool 4
1385 34%
Icebreaker Open 2017
May 2017 · us
No match-level data
13 fights
Icebreaker Open 2018
April 2018 · us
No match-level data
18 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1156 ▲149 · 1,164.0
  • Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 128 ▲26 · 1,194.6
WIN
915 61%
WIN
Cole Baxter · Center for Blade Arts Longsword · Pool E
LOSS
1122 47%
LOSS
Sam Street · Sword to Sword Longsword · Pool E
1608 15%
LOSS
Romana Shemayev · Bent Blades Longsword · Pool E
1378 30%
WIN
Davis Vader · Chicago Swordplay Guild Singlestick · Pool D
LOSS
Adam Franti · Lansing Longsword Guild Singlestick · Pool D
1360 33%
WIN
1061 49%
LOSS
1103 48%
LOSS
Josias Arcadia · Ram's Head Fencing Singlestick · Pool D
1165 47%
LOSS
Robert Roy Mixed Weapon · Pool C
LOSS
LOSS
Davis Vader · Chicago Swordplay Guild Mixed Weapon · Pool C
WIN
Brendan Maloney · Center for Blade Arts Mixed Weapon · Pool C
Icebreaker 2016
April 2016
No match-level data
5 fights
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.