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Ed Butler

Center for Blade Arts● · United States
Inactive 90m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
980
Peak
1044 April 2019
Record
4W · 8L
Last
April 2019
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
701
Peak
747 April 2019
Record
0W · 4L
Last
April 2019

Scout analysis

Longsword

4W · 8L (33%)
Form
Steady
Recent 33% vs older 33%
▾
Record: 4W · 8L (33%)
Recent half (6 fights): 33%
Older half (6 fights): 33%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 12 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
+0.6 vs expectation
▾
Over/under vs expectation: +0.6 (2 actual / 1.4 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 29%
▾
Pool stage: 2W · 5L (29%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
64 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 980
Peak rating: 1044 (April 2019)
Gap to peak: -64
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Mixed Weapon

1W · 5L (17%)
Form
Building
17% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 5L (17%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 6 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 17%
▾
Pool stage: 1W · 5L (17%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Singlestick

0W · 4L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Record: 0W · 4L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 4 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Pool stage: 0W · 4L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
46 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 701
Peak rating: 747 (April 2019)
Gap to peak: -46
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · us · 1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 12
Fights / year: 22
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Center for Blade Arts● (88)

Events & fights (2)

Icebreaker Open 2019●
April 2019 · us
No match-level data
9 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2123 ▲605 · 1,044.5
  • Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 400 · 747.9
LOSS
Aaron Pynenberg● · Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association● Longsword · Poo
1578 15%
LOSS
Lars Olsen● · Minneapolis Amateur Swordfighting Association● Longsword · Poo
1509 18%
LOSS
Adam Franti● · Lansing Longsword Guild● Longsword · Poo
1572 16%
WIN
John Dollmeyer● · Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association● Longsword · Poo
1067 42%
WIN
Mark Nelson● Longsword · Poo
958 47%
LOSS
Autumn Eule-Nashoba● · Center for Blade Arts● Singlestick · Pool B
1027
LOSS
Aaron Pynenberg● · Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association● Singlestick · Pool B
1547
LOSS
Jason Murdey● · Lansing Longsword Guild● Singlestick · Pool B
1279
LOSS
Tony Williams● · Minneapolis HEMA Study Group● Singlestick · Pool B
961
Icebreaker Open 2018●
April 2018 · us
No match-level data
13 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2132 · 914.2
LOSS
Chuck Castellanos● · Lake Forest Sword Academy● Longsword · Pool H
849
WIN
Sidney Salud● · Chicago Swordplay Guild● Longsword · Pool H
LOSS
Josias Arcadia● · Ram's Head Fencing● Longsword · Pool H
1503
WIN
Don Doumakes● · Omaha Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword · Pool H
990
LOSS
Tyler Hull● · Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association● Longsword · Pool H
866
LOSS
Lars Olsen● · Minneapolis Amateur Swordfighting Association● Longsword · Pool H
1383
LOSS
Logan Black● · War Sword Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool H
1304
LOSS
Ian Smith● · Minneapolis Amateur Swordfighting Association● Mixed Weapon · Pool B
WIN
Brendan Maloney● · Center for Blade Arts● Mixed Weapon · Pool B
LOSS
Tim Hoyt● · European Martial Arts of St. Louis● Mixed Weapon · Pool B
LOSS
Logan Black● · War Sword Historical Fencing● Mixed Weapon · Pool B
LOSS
Steve Mattsen● · Center for Blade Arts● Mixed Weapon · Pool B
LOSS
Flynn Castellanos● · Lake Forest Sword Academy● Mixed Weapon · Pool B
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.