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Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1093
Peak
1170 April 2019
Record
7W · 12L
Last
April 2019

Scout analysis

Longsword

7W · 12L (37%)
Form
Rising
Recent 44% vs older 22%
Record: 7W · 12L (37%)
Recent half (9 fights): 44%
Older half (9 fights): 22%
Delta: +22%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 19 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.6 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation: +0.6 (4 actual / 3.4 expected, n=10)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 57%
Pool stage: 4W · 3L (57%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
76 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1093
Peak rating: 1170 (April 2019)
Gap to peak: -76
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Mixed Weapon

3W · 9L (25%)
Form
Rising
Recent 33% vs older 17%
Record: 3W · 9L (25%)
Recent half (6 fights): 33%
Older half (6 fights): 17%
Delta: +16%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 12 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 3W · 9L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+12 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Reach
3 events · us · 1.9 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 23
Fights / year: 16.2
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association (76)

Events & fights (3)

Icebreaker Open 2019
April 2019 · us
No match-level data
6 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1487 ▲489 · 1,170.1
LOSS
1572 19%
LOSS
Mark Nelson Longsword · Poo
958 55%
WIN
890 55%
LOSS
906 58%
Icebreaker Open 2017
May 2017 · us
No match-level data
6 fights
Icebreaker Open 2018
April 2018 · us
No match-level data
19 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1501 ▲719 · 1,076.5
LOSS
1229 32%
WIN
WIN
John Keizer · Bent Blades Longsword · Pool C
WIN
Mark Nelson Longsword · Pool C
LOSS
Joel Johnson · Center for Blade Arts Longsword · Pool C
1386 22%
WIN
989 41%
LOSS
1363 23%
LOSS
Nathan Clough · Minnesota Sword Guild Mixed Weapon · Pool C
LOSS
WIN
Brendan Maloney · Center for Blade Arts Mixed Weapon · Pool C
LOSS
Robert Roy Mixed Weapon · Pool C
LOSS
Davis Vader · Chicago Swordplay Guild Mixed Weapon · Pool C
WIN
John Keizer · Bent Blades Mixed Weapon · Pool F
WIN
LOSS
Eric Hallstrom · Center for Blade Arts Mixed Weapon · Pool F
LOSS
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.