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Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1215
Peak
1399 February 2017
Record
20W · 18L · 1D
Last
May 2017
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
1165
Peak
1253 May 2017
Record
7W · 9L
Last
May 2017

Scout analysis

Longsword

20W · 18L · 1D (51%)
Form
Rising
Recent 58% vs older 42%
Record: 20W · 18L · 1D (51%)
Recent half (19 fights): 58%
Older half (19 fights): 42%
Delta: +16%
Current streak: 5 Losses
Based on 39 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-3.7 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation: -3.7 (6 actual / 9.7 expected, n=18)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
5 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 0.97
Avg exchanges / match: 7.4
Doubles / match: 0.2
First scorer rate: 20%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 20%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
183 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1215
Peak rating: 1399 (February 2017)
Gap to peak: -183
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 19W · 16L · 1D (53%) -3.7 vs expectation (n=18) avg opponent 1191
+3 fights in 1 thinner division

Singlestick

7W · 9L (44%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 38% vs older 50%
Record: 7W · 9L (44%)
Recent half (8 fights): 38%
Older half (8 fights): 50%
Delta: -12%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 16 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-0.2 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: -0.2 (4 actual / 4.2 expected, n=10)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 0.92
Avg exchanges / match: 6
Doubles / match: 0.25
First scorer rate: 50%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 100%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
88 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1165
Peak rating: 1253 (May 2017)
Gap to peak: -88
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Mixed Weapon

3W · 3L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 3W · 3L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 6 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
7 events · us · 3.8 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 7
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 46
Fights / year: 15.9
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Ann Arbor Sword Club (36)

Events & fights (7)

Longpoint 2015
July 2015 · us
No match-level data
5 fights
SoCal Swordfight 2017
February 2017 · us
13 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 216 ▲148 · 1,399.1
  • Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 90 ▲57 · 1,153.9
WIN
Dylan Smith · South Coast Swords Longsword Score 5-3 Review →
WIN
WIN
Will Chang · Kron Martial Arts Longsword Score 6-1 · 1 double Review →
WIN
Justin Beck · F3 Sword Academy Longsword Score 6-2 Review →
1110 51%
WIN
Eric Hardeman · SoCal Swords Longsword Score 4-1 Review →
WIN
1095 53%
LOSS
1287 39%
LOSS
720 53%
WIN
1037 51%
WIN
Nolan Duino · SoCal Swords Singlestick Score 9-0 Review →
LOSS
1554 25%
IGX 2015
October 2015 · us
No match-level data
5 fights
LOSS
LOSS
1344 42%
WIN
PNW HEMA Gathering 2013
August 2013 · us
No match-level data
7 fights
WIN
LOSS
LOSS
Sam Street Singlestick
WIN
Kaz Foster Longsword
Broken Point 2016
February 2016 · us
No match-level data
5 fights
Icebreaker Open 2017
May 2017 · us
No match-level data
13 fights
WIN
910 74%
LOSS
1452 41%
LOSS
1294 55%
LOSS
1348 50%
LOSS
955 68%
WIN
1182 47%
LOSS
966 60%
WIN
1474 29%
LOSS
1271 41%
Midwinter Armizare Open 2017
January 2017 · us
No match-level data
13 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 364 ▲45 · 1,276.1
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.