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Paul Bates
Inactive 28m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
1424
Peak
1455
April 2024
Record
22W · 13L
Last
April 2024
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
769
Peak
784
March 2024
Record
0W · 0L
Last
March 2024
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1387
Peak
1407
August 2023
Record
5W · 1L
Last
August 2023
Scout analysis
Singlestick
22W · 13L (63%)
Singlestick
22W · 13L (63%)
Form
Steady
Recent 65% vs older 59%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 65% vs older 59%
Record: 22W · 13L (63%)
Recent half (17 fights): 65%
Older half (17 fights): 59%
Delta: +6%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 35 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-0.7 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-0.7 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.7
(7 actual / 7.7 expected, n=14)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 67% · Elim 67%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 67% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 20W · 10L (67%)
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
30 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
30 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1424
Peak rating: 1455 (April 2024)
Gap to peak: -30
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Singlestick
17W · 11L
(61%)
-0.9 vs expectation
(n=13)
avg opponent 1291
+7 fights in 1 thinner division
Mixed Weapon
5W · 4L (56%)
Mixed Weapon
5W · 4L (56%)
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
Record: 5W · 4L (56%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 50%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 9 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 57%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 57%
Pool stage: 4W · 3L (57%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sabre
5W · 1L (83%)
Sabre
5W · 1L (83%)
Form
Building
83% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
83% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 5W · 1L (83%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 6 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 0.83
Avg exchanges / match: 6.3
Doubles / match: 0.67
First scorer rate: 100%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 0%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
Pool stage: 3W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
20 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
20 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1387
Peak rating: 1407 (August 2023)
Gap to peak: -20
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier & Dagger
0W · 5L (0%)
Rapier & Dagger
0W · 5L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
0% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 0W · 5L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 5 Losses
Based on 5 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 4L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
6 events · us · 5.1 yrs active
3 rated weapons
▾
Reach
6 events · us · 5.1 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 6
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 61
Fights / year: 10.8
Rated weapons: 3
Clubmates
·
Center for Blade Arts●
(87)
- Daniel Evans●
- Matt Olesen●
- Dylan Kostman●
- Steve Mattsen●
- Derek Swart●
- Brent Jungclaus●
- Scott Thomas●
- Joel Johnson●
- Dale Utt●
- Ryan Carlson●
- Brendan Maloney●
- Andrew Dale●
- Autumn Eule-Nashoba●
- Brian Fleming●
- Jarod Harbrecht●
- Sami Showalter●
- Aaron Lent●
- Leo Dannersmith●
- Timothy Verseput●
- Ed Butler●
- Jeff Burbank●
- Ryan Mahoney●
- Samuel Storck-Post●
- Kenny Reed●
- Mike Tschida●
- Nathan Wichman●
- Timothy Roach●
- Allison Jacobsen●
- Cole Baxter●
- Layne Gerrard●
- DJ Murray●
- Cecelia Issaac●
- Jon Reding●
- Kelsey Maher●
- Theo Wilson●
- Rashi McKinney●
- Thomas Tang●
- Colin Lacy●
- Kyle Johnson●
- Eric Hallstrom●
- Jennifer Lindgren●
- Lizzie Nelson●
- Marissa Evans●
- Martin Miller●
- Max Richter●
- Samantha Showalter●
- Joshua Davie●
- Alex Burton●
- Chris Hage●
- Connor Dale●
- Parker Cook●
- Sam Lindberg●
- Steven Voto●
- Alex Gottschalk●
- Avery Gervais●
- Caitlin Iverson●
- Chase Drawz●
- Conner Haugen●
- Grier Belter●
- Kelvin Yang●
- Laura Burbank●
- Lucas Lindgren●
- Matt Grieser●
- Ryan Biggs●
- Teresa Padron●
- Travis Haglund●
- Wilhelm Potgeiter●
- Zach Kayser●
- Alex Greff●
- Christopher Thoms●
- Clarissa Wright●
- David Weber●
- Kaylee Ross●
- Lux Cavanaugh●
- Noah Rothschild●
- Anna Schliep●
- Austin Lowel●
- Emmet Ironstone●
- Greg Nieuwenhuis●
- James Walls●
- Laura Kalsow●
- Michael Borchert●
- Troy Elffeson●
- Xander Jacobsen●
- Zana Dye●
- Mitch Ehlers●
- AJ DeWees●
Events & fights
(6)
7 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 43 ▼1 · 1,455.3
Bend the Knee 2024●
March 2024 · us
12 fights
▾
March 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 685 · 784.1
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 42 ▲6 · 1,449.6
WIN
864 78%
11 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 38 ▲22 · 1,393.9
Donnybrook 2023●
August 2023 · us
13 fights
▾
August 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 184 · 1,407.4
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 34 · 1,419.1
WIN
James Glackin●
·
Heartland HEMA Historical Fencing Club●
Sabre
· Pool Set 1
Score 7-4 · 1 double
Review →
1359
WIN
1251 55%
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 35 ▼2 · 1,251.5
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 171 · 1,180.5
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.