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Michael Waggoner
Inactive 14m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1228
#2,699
Peak
1240
July 2025
Record
12W · 15L · 1D
Last
July 2025
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Current
996
#364
Peak
1073
July 2022
Record
5W · 14L
Last
August 2024
Scout analysis
Longsword
12W · 15L · 1D (43%)
Longsword
12W · 15L · 1D (43%)
Form
Rising
Recent 57% vs older 29%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 57% vs older 29%
Record: 12W · 15L · 1D (43%)
Recent half (14 fights): 57%
Older half (14 fights): 29%
Delta: +28%
Current streak: 4 Wins
Based on 28 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
0 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
0 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
0
(8 actual / 8 expected, n=21)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
7 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
7 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.5
Avg exchanges / match: 6.9
Doubles / match: 0.86
First scorer rate: 100%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 20%
Comeback wins (was behind): 0%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 40% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 40% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 8W · 12L (40%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1228
Peak rating: 1240 (July 2025)
Gap to peak: -12
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
5W · 13L
(28%)
-2.4 vs expectation
(n=12)
avg opponent 1268
Mixed Steel Longsword With Optional Dagger
7W · 2L · 1D
(70%)
+2.4 vs expectation
(n=9)
avg opponent 1171
Rapier
7W · 12L · 1D (35%)
Rapier
7W · 12L · 1D (35%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 30% vs older 40%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 30% vs older 40%
Record: 7W · 12L · 1D (35%)
Recent half (10 fights): 30%
Older half (10 fights): 40%
Delta: -10%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 20 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 36% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 36% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 5W · 9L (36%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Rapier And Any Sidearm
3W · 10L · 1D
(21%)
+6 fights in 1 thinner division
Singlestick
5W · 14L (26%)
Singlestick
5W · 14L (26%)
Form
Rising
Recent 33% vs older 22%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 33% vs older 22%
Record: 5W · 14L (26%)
Recent half (9 fights): 33%
Older half (9 fights): 22%
Delta: +11%
Current streak: 5 Losses
Based on 19 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2.8 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2.8 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-2.8
(1 actual / 3.8 expected, n=9)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 29%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 29%
Pool stage: 5W · 12L (29%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
77 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
77 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 996
Peak rating: 1073 (July 2022)
Gap to peak: -77
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
7W · 12L (37%)
Mixed Weapon
7W · 12L (37%)
Form
Steady
Recent 33% vs older 33%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 33% vs older 33%
Record: 7W · 12L (37%)
Recent half (9 fights): 33%
Older half (9 fights): 33%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 19 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 41%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 41%
Pool stage: 7W · 10L (41%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Any Weapon
3W · 7L
(30%)
+9 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Dussack
8W · 2L (80%)
Dussack
8W · 2L (80%)
Form
Steady
Recent 80% vs older 80%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 80% vs older 80%
Record: 8W · 2L (80%)
Recent half (5 fights): 80%
Older half (5 fights): 80%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 10 recorded dussack fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 80%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 80%
Pool stage: 4W · 1L (80%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Smallsword
2W · 3L (40%)
Smallsword
2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 5 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
5 events · us · 3.1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
5 events · us · 3.1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 5
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 37
Fights / year: 32.8
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Omaha Kunst des Fechtens●
(27)
- Tyler Sigman●
- Ethan Paasch●
- Ralph Hill●
- Michael McIntosh●
- Jack Swanson●
- Jennifer Bunge●
- Don Doumakes●
- Bill Dickson●
- Gail Bunge●
- Rick Long●
- Titania Masters●
- Riley Rief●
- Cat Pier●
- Nick Pestello●
- James Sechser●
- Justin Pelnar●
- Mike McKintosh●
- Spencer Norman●
- Daron Sperry●
- Wayne Brekke●
- Mason Rodericks●
- Ian Pelnar●
- Zachary Sechser●
- Adam Watson●
- Alexander Neff●
- Chase Lathrop●
- Matthew Bach●
Events & fights
(5)
Auf Der Hut 2025●
July 2025 · us
31 fights
▾
July 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2329 ▲1672 · 1,240.7
LOSS
Christopher Yang●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Gold Medal Match
Score 2-7
Review →
1636 10%
WIN
892 63%
WIN
739 58%
WIN
1285 30%
DRAW
Donnybrook 2024●
August 2024 · us
17 fights
▾
August 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3043 ▲45 · 1,057.3
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 208 ▼27 · 1,016.8
LOSS
Christopher Preyer●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Elimination Bracket
Score 4-9
Review →
1758 6%
LOSS
1322 28%
LOSS
Jacob Lee Ashlock●
·
Heartland HEMA Historical Fencing Club●
Rapier
· Elimination Bracket
Score 3-11
Review →
LOSS
WIN
Michael Keller●
·
Wichita Fencing & HEMA Academy●
Smallsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 8-0 · 2 doubles
Review →
Green Chapel 2024●
June 2024 · us
18 fights
▾
June 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3035 ▲27 · 1,044.1
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 174 ▲52 · 1,046.2
LOSS
Jessica Young●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Elimination Bracket
Score 4-6
Review →
1328 31%
LOSS
1143 40%
WIN
1021 58%
LOSS
Michael Stack●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 1-9
Review →
1756 9%
WIN
825 58%
WIN
Aimee Hanson●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Singlestick
· Pool Set 1
Score 5-4
Review →
LOSS
LOSS
WIN
Shen Williams●
·
Heartland HEMA Historical Fencing Club●
Rapier
· Eighth-Finals
Score 10-9 · 1 double
Review →
WIN
23 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2071 ▼114 · 1,032.4
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 137 ▼39 · 958.1
Cornhusker State Games 2022●
July 2022 · us
12 fights
▾
July 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1343 · 1,045.9
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 66 · 1,073.9
LOSS
1267
LOSS
Michael Stack●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 6-10 · 2 doubles
Review →
1606
WIN
864
LOSS
Michael Stack●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Rapier
· Pool Set 1
Score 6-10 · 2 doubles
Review →
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.