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Josh MacDonald

The Forge: Western Martial Arts● · Canada
Inactive 89m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1438
Peak
1494 June 2019
Record
7W · 1L
Last
June 2019

Scout analysis

Dussack

7W · 1L · 1D (78%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 100%
▾
Record: 7W · 1L · 1D (78%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 100%
Delta: -50%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 9 recorded dussack fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
▾
Pool stage: 5W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Longsword

7W · 1L (88%)
Form
Rising
Recent 100% vs older 75%
▾
Record: 7W · 1L (88%)
Recent half (4 fights): 100%
Older half (4 fights): 75%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 7 Wins
Based on 8 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
▾
Pool stage: 5W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
56 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1438
Peak rating: 1494 (June 2019)
Gap to peak: -56
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Messer

3W · 2L (60%)
Form
Building
60% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Record: 3W · 2L (60%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
▾
Pool stage: 3W · 1L (75%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
1 event · ca · 7 mo active
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 1
Countries fought in: 1 (ca)
Months active: 7
Fights / year: 37.7
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · The Forge: Western Martial Arts● (35)

Events & fights (2)

Anvil 2019●
June 2019 · ca
No match-level data
13 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 351 · 1,494.6
LOSS
Mark Winkelman● · The Forge: Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Gold Medal Match
1480
WIN
Vanja Salkauskas● · The Forge: Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool D
781
WIN
Sheena Haug● · The Academy of European Swordsmanship● Longsword · Pool D
739
WIN
Stephen Briggs● · Edmonton Historical Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool D
1394
WIN
Mark Fairfield● · The Academy of European Swordsmanship● Longsword · Pool D
WIN
Mark Fairfield● · The Academy of European Swordsmanship● Longsword · Pool D
WIN
Matthew Fisher● · The Forge: Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Quarter finals
WIN
Patrick Moore● · Edmonton German Fencing Guild● Longsword · Semi Finals
1162
WIN
Roman Frolov● · Edmonton Historical Martial Arts● Messer · Pool A
WIN
Silken Kleer● · The Forge: Western Martial Arts● Messer · Pool A
LOSS
Javier Bermudez Prado● Messer · Pool A
WIN
Michael Miller● · Edmonton Historical Martial Arts● Messer · Pool A
LOSS
Johanus Haidner● · The Academy of European Swordsmanship● Messer · Quarter Final
Blizzard Brawl 2020○
January 2020
No match-level data
9 fights ▾
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.