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Calan Lovstoan

The Forge: Western Martial Arts● · Canada
Inactive 100m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1146
Peak
1199 May 2018
Record
3W · 2L
Last
May 2018

Scout analysis

Longsword

3W · 2L (60%)
Form
Building
60% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Record: 3W · 2L (60%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
▾
Pool stage: 3W · 1L (75%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
52 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1146
Peak rating: 1199 (May 2018)
Gap to peak: -52
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Messer

2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
▾
Pool stage: 2W · 3L (40%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
1 event · ca
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 1
Countries fought in: 1 (ca)
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · The Forge: Western Martial Arts● (34)

Events & fights (1)

Anvil 2018●
May 2018 · ca
No match-level data
10 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1056 · 1,199.2
WIN
Johanus Haidner● · The Academy of European Swordsmanship● Longsword · Pool C
LOSS
Joseph Paches● · The Academy of European Swordsmanship● Longsword · Pool C
1331
WIN
Harold Parlee● Longsword · Pool C
WIN
Lexa Giguère● · Bighorn Historical Combat● Longsword · Pool C
LOSS
Michael Miller● · Edmonton Historical Martial Arts● Longsword · Quarter Final
LOSS
James Emerson● · The Forge: Western Martial Arts● Messer · Pool A
WIN
Jessica Kaprowski● · The Academy of European Swordsmanship● Messer · Pool A
LOSS
Michael Miller● · Edmonton Historical Martial Arts● Messer · Pool A
WIN
Thomas Poda● · Unaffiliated● Messer · Pool A
LOSS
Joseph Paches● · The Academy of European Swordsmanship● Messer · Pool A
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.