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Nathan Wellsman
Inactive 27m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
998
#5,053
Peak
1017
June 2024
Record
5W · 8L
Last
June 2024
Scout analysis
Messer
1W · 12L · 2D (7%)
Messer
1W · 12L · 2D (7%)
Form
Rising
Recent 14% vs older 0%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 14% vs older 0%
Record: 1W · 12L · 2D (7%)
Recent half (7 fights): 14%
Older half (7 fights): 0%
Delta: +14%
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 15 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 8%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 8%
Pool stage: 1W · 11L (8%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Longsword
5W · 8L (38%)
Longsword
5W · 8L (38%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 17%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 17%
Record: 5W · 8L (38%)
Recent half (6 fights): 50%
Older half (6 fights): 17%
Delta: +33%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 13 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.2 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+0.2 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
+0.2
(3 actual / 2.8 expected, n=8)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
Pool stage: 4W · 6L (40%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 998
Peak rating: 1017 (June 2024)
Gap to peak: -18
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Dussack
0W · 4L · 2D (0%)
Dussack
0W · 4L · 2D (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
0% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 0W · 4L · 2D (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 6 recorded dussack fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 4L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · ca · 4.5 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Reach
3 events · ca · 4.5 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (ca)
Months active: 54
Fights / year: 7.6
Rated weapons: 1
Clubmates
·
The Forge: Western Martial Arts●
(35)
- Tavis McKee●
- Mark Winkelman●
- Ashley Coe●
- Thora Jensdottir●
- Silken Kleer●
- Daniel Lenfest-Jameson●
- Lars Le Gras●
- Steven Dalla Vicenza●
- James Emerson●
- Tim Holter●
- Jimmy Munkaspeni●
- Josh MacDonald●
- Jeff Mostowich●
- Matthew Fisher●
- Aislinn MacCulloch●
- Joseph Graham●
- Vanja Salkauskas●
- Ali Naqvi●
- Calan Lovstoan●
- Catherine Lempke●
- Kyle Irwin●
- Michael Draper●
- Andrew Lawrence●
- Ben Greenbaum●
- Chad Hazzard●
- Justin Lo●
- Reese Bayliss●
- Erin Fletcher●
- Mark Kostecky●
- Brett Whelan●
- Dan LaPierre●
- Eric LaPierre●
- Ian LaPierre●
- Mehmet Can●
- Lexa Davidson●
Events & fights
(4)
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3203 ▲867 · 1,017.1
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3159 ▲3 · 839.8
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1864 · 777.2
Blizzard Brawl 2020○
January 2020
No match-level data
6 fights
▾
January 2020
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.